MTT Hand of the night

[ilikeaces86]

I dont know how to get my hand history for the MTT so Ill just type it in on here.

Me: Qh10h

Flop 8h9h6s

I am in middle postion and raised it 3xbb preflop......I bet 900(the pot) on the flop and he pushes all in....I had a read on this player that he like to play a lot of Axs and was very agressive when he flopped a pair on him after figuring out I would be ahead vs most and hand I went ahead and made the call for all my chips....He flips over As8s and his 8 holds up....no help on the turn or river. My question is I was just off the money with a bit over average stack good push?

[TylerK]

You're a pretty big favorite to win this hand, I'd say it's a good call. But I would be afraid he had something like the Ah Xh, in which case you are well behind.

[Penneywize]

You had about a 35% chance of making a flush, a 16% chance of hitting your gutshot on the turn or river, and a 1 in 4 chance of hitting an overpair. Yup you made the right move. If there were any justice in poker, you would have hit that jack of hearts

[a500lbgorilla]

G00t push. Nice chance to build a stack on the bubble where blinds are just asking to be stolen.

-'rilla

[BigFunBiggie]

In the end, it does come out that it was a smart move on your part. My only concern would've been if he had been holding, say, Ah6h. This hand would've fallen into your read as well, but would've eliminated your outs for the flush. That would've only left with you with 3 J's, 3 Q's, and 3 10's as outs, or 9/45 = 20% chance of winning the hand. Since you were confident he was holding Axs (w the x paired on the board), I'd see your drawing odds as

(1/3)*(9/45) + (2/3) *((4+3+3+8)/45) = .333 chance of winning the hand, roughly (keep in mind, you could have hit the Ah on the turn, only to have him hit one of his 4 outs on the river for a full house)

In all, with that read on him, I would leery of calling.

Or I could be totally wrong.