Turn or River bet? And how much?

[Wet_DreaMer]

$5 level at UB. No real reads. Postflop I put him on a weak ace or a pocket pair (under).
Although the min raise obviously wants to keep me in the hand, Im considering the possibilities of him getting tricky with a monster, such as airlines setting.

Hand #5484186-46 at SnG-0037t (No Limit Hold'em Sit and Go)
Powered by UltimateBet
Started at 18/Apr/05 23:53:20

allinthecards is at seat 0 with 1505.
funnyleslie2 is at seat 2 with 2170.
O-Train is at seat 3 with 2630.
Fritoman79 is at seat 4 with 3705.
AnteEmmy is at seat 5 with 550.
swisschris is at seat 6 with 1320.
Wet-DreaMer is at seat 8 with 2365.
manzerek is at seat 9 with 755.
The button is at seat 0.

funnyleslie2 posts the big blind of 60.

allinthecards: -- --
funnyleslie2: -- --
O-Train: -- --
Fritoman79: -- --
AnteEmmy: -- --
swisschris: -- --
Wet-DreaMer: 5s 5d
manzerek: -- --

Pre-flop:

O-Train folds. Fritoman79 folds. AnteEmmy folds.
swisschris folds. Wet-DreaMer raises to 120.
manzerek folds. allinthecards folds. funnyleslie2
re-raises to 180. Wet-DreaMer calls.

Flop (board: Ks Ac Js):

funnyleslie2 bets 60. Wet-DreaMer raises to 180.
funnyleslie2 calls.

Turn (board: Ks Ac Js Qs):
funnyleslie2 checks.

(Just for reference, the river is the Qd)


I feel I should be taking another stab as soon as that Q hits. Its given a flush, along with any 10+ card having an underpair beat. However does it commit me? And whats roughly the chance of him sp-ing here?

Thoughts? Comments?

[Humphrind]

funnyleslie2 posts the big blind of 60.

You may have focused on other parts of this tournament. But this is what I saw. You are early in the tournament. I say check/fold the flop and beyond unless your hand improves.

[vqc]

he reraises you preflop, and the flop comes out AKJ, do you think ur 5s are still good?

With the 5s just limp preflop and hope to set it. Otherwise, ESPECIALLY with the AKJ on the flop, your pwned.

[Fnord]

Why are you putting in any money here post-flop at the $5 level of all places?

[vqc]

ok thought about it a bit more, If you really think that you can take the pot down, and you are willing to risk the chips, then Do it. But what he is playing would be read based, and you dont have any reads.

[aleksandr]

Gimmie a guess on how willing this guys is to let go of his TPGK, 2pair, high trips, straight or good draw. I mean, what do you put the guy on that doesn't pwn you, and that doesn't want a showdown?

Check/fold. Can't rep them all.

[Wet_DreaMer]

Interesting. In hindsight I think I agree with you all.

Had a strong feeling he had an underpair in the SnG, a gut feeling more than anything else, and that he was very weak on that turn.

I checked back at him, and checked around on the river as well.

He flipped over 88, just as I thought.
A 300-500 turn bet would have taken it down for sure.

However this is fairly results-oriented; as frustrating as it is for a gut feeling to be proven right and not acted upon in order to take the safer way out.