great example of a cold bluff

[DimitriT]

read on opp: good plr, very careful, takes time

PokerStars Game #1841177777: Hold'em No Limit ($0.50/$1.00) - 2005/06/05 - 22:03:02 (ET)
Table 'Georgia II' Seat #2 is the button
Seat 1: DimitriT ($123.70 in chips)
Seat 2: Min9 ($97.20 in chips)
Seat 3: towlie-ban42 ($168.60 in chips)
Seat 4: Wappa ($84.95 in chips)
Seat 5: ncaizza ($25.10 in chips)
Seat 6: EdmondT ($158.55 in chips)
Seat 7: NotMike ($107.50 in chips)
Seat 8: rakbeater ($72.40 in chips)
Seat 9: Mal-2 ($100.80 in chips)
towlie-ban42: posts small blind $0.50
Wappa: posts big blind $1
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to DimitriT [Ts Qd]
ncaizza has timed out
ncaizza: folds
ncaizza is sitting out
EdmondT: folds
NotMike: folds
rakbeater: folds
Mal-2: folds
DimitriT: calls $1
Min9: folds
towlie-ban42: raises $3 to $4
Wappa: folds
DimitriT: calls $3
*** FLOP *** [8c 7c Js]
towlie-ban42: bets $5
DimitriT: calls $5
*** TURN *** [8c 7c Js] [5s]
towlie-ban42: checks
DimitriT: bets $5
towlie-ban42: raises $15 to $20
ncaizza has returned
DimitriT: calls $15
*** RIVER *** [8c 7c Js 5s] [Kc]
towlie-ban42: checks
DimitriT: bets $26
towlie-ban42: folds
DimitriT collected $56.10 from pot
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot $59 | Rake $2.90
Board [8c 7c Js 5s Kc]
Seat 1: DimitriT collected ($56.10)
Seat 2: Min9 (button) folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 3: towlie-ban42 (small blind) folded on the River
Seat 4: Wappa (big blind) folded before Flop
Seat 5: ncaizza folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 6: EdmondT folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 7: NotMike folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 8: rakbeater folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 9: Mal-2 folded before Flop (didn't bet)

[Staple Gun]

What hand did you put him on there? I thought AK until the river action. I have no idea what he could have had. I was thinking maybe QQ but i dunno why he would check the turn. I guess I just cant see why you bluffed, maybe he had QJ but I dont think a good player raises QJ preflop so I dont know.

[DimitriT]

I'm not sure he had anything. Maybe AJ. Maybe TT. Maybe AsQs. He was betting from position PFR .. maybe he had 82os.

I was going for gutshot + "virtual" & real overcard + "virtual" flush draw.
I figured the virtual cards had about a 70% chance of working
on this type of player.

I will often play a gutshot+over if the board show 2 to a flush; ragardless
of what the suit is or if I have connected. The odds of making the flush
draw are 11/47+11/46 if you don't have a suited card in the hole. Add
to that the 4 outs for the straight and the 3 for the over and you have 18 outs. Which gives you pretty good odds against this type of plr. The implied odds of the gutshot make it very powerful but the other cards serve to help reduce your risk over many hands.

Ofcourse I only do this once I've established a pattern of winning pots with real hands and I've figured out what a plr respects for bet size.