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Big hands early in MTT...
Ran into a situation twice last night that crippled or ended my MTT life in a tough way, and I wanted some feedback on them. Both situations were in MTT's of 1000 people or more, and I usually play pretty carefully early on.
In one situation I had JJ, and another I had AKs. I raised both 4-5x blinds from MP, and in each situation got one caller on the button.
In the JJ hand, I flopped JQ6, all spades. The button opponent was about 70% of my stack, as I had started out well and stood as the chip leader at the time. I bet about 60-70% of the pot to encourage a loose call if he had a spade, or just fold it he didn't. Instead, he went ALL IN for probably 1.5-2x the pot size (70% of my stack). In this situation, I figured this was an autocall. I called and he had AT and his Ace was a spade. He hit the spade on the river to cripple me. I went from chip leader to chip-whore, and got knocked out 30 mins later.
In the AKs hand, a very similar situation came about, but this time the flop came K-x-x, with two spades. My K was a spade, and my opponent had just a few more chips and I. I placed a pot-sized bet to take it down, and the button opponent moved all-in, for 2x the pot. For some reason my read told me that I was ahead or splitting, and that he was most likely on AK or KQ--or that he was on a huge semi-bluff. With trips, MOST people smooth call or reraise to get more money in later, so I put trips at about 10% likelihood. I called, and he turned QTs and hit a spade on the turn to knock me out.
Now, I have done this semi-bluff play before in tourneys, as it's a great way to take down a pot, and alternatively take someones entire stack if you hit. But I'd like some feedback from both my perspective as well as the opponent.
1) Would you call neither, one, of both of these in my situation?
2) How often would you push AI early in a MTT in my opponents' situations?
Thanks,
CK
Just wanted to see if anyone would have laid these down (mostly the second one) this early on.
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