EP 10+1. Isnt this a instapush?

[vqc]

***** Hand History for Game 2575503261 *****
400/800 Tourney Texas Hold'em Game Table (NL) (Tournament 15048631) - Sun Aug 21 22:10:53 EDT 2005
Table Table 11534 (Real Money) -- Seat 2 is the button
Total number of players : 4
Seat 2: IGrindHer (3075)
Seat 7: cobra9646 (1065)
Seat 8: mhancher (2780)
Seat 9: Tarule53 (1080)
cobra9646 posts small blind (200)
mhancher posts big blind (400)
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to IGrindHer [ Ac, 7h ]
Tarule53 folds.
IGrindHer raises (3075) to 3075
IGrindHer is all-In.
cobra9646 folds.
mhancher folds.

Isnt this a instapush you guys?

[Fnord]

*falls asleep*

huh, did you say something?

[drmcboy]

worse things have happened if you double up the cobra, no worries there, Mhanch has to pick up a monster.

I was going to say 1200 gets the same info and you can still lay down, but 1200+400+200 plus 2700 from him makes 3/1 back to you if he pushes, which you pretty much have to call.

So push I say.

[vqc]

Well apparently, even if the two blinds are so scared of me that they only call with 55+, AJ+, KQ+, this is barely a +$EV play (+0.2% of hte prize pool). Are they really going to be that tight here?

If they loosen up to 10%, this is a breakeven money play.

[drmcboy]

I think the SB is looser than that, but the BB is much tighter, AQ 77 at least. He's already spending the third place money in his mind, worst case.

Also there is psychological value in showing no fear here which ups the EV a bit in my mind. And god help them if you pick up a real hand next orbit.

[vqc]

hm ok well that makes sense in mkaing the BB much tighter.
I think i was still having the BB much too loose. But If i make him "im in the money" tight, then its a push.

THANK YOU!
I knew it was an instapush!

[lolzzz_321]

Was Pearl Harbor an insta push, huh, huh!?!?!?!?!?