Tough call

[andr3w321]

Do you make this call knowing its probably a split or lose pot? Or is it best just to let it go?

FullTiltPoker Game #197612847: Table Johnson (6 max) - $2/$4 - No Limit Hold'em - 21:11:41 ET - 2005/08/26
Seat 1: Shane99 ($394.25)
Seat 2: andr3w321 ($454.20)
Seat 3: jomapr ($80), is sitting out
Seat 6: jxweiss ($684.55)
Shane99 posts the small blind of $2
andr3w321 posts the big blind of $4
The button is in seat #6
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to andr3w321 [:Td: ]
jxweiss raises to $8
Shane99 folds
andr3w321 calls $4
*** FLOP *** [:Qc: :Jc:]
andr3w321 checks
jxweiss bets $4
andr3w321 raises to $16
jxweiss calls $12
*** TURN *** [Qc 9s Jc] [:Kh:]
andr3w321 bets $44
jxweiss raises to $122
andr3w321 calls $78
*** RIVER *** [Qc 9s Jc Kh] []
andr3w321 checks
jxweiss bets $150
andr3w321...?

[SmackinYaUp]

This is a tough one indeed. Its very read dependent but I know its bad to call when the best you can do is split. We need some math in here. How often do you think he's totally bluffing it and you profiting, how often is it a split, and how often does he have it?

[Muxy]

call

[SmackinYaUp]

Why?


I think I agree its a call too because if you folded here everytime you'd probably lose more due to the amount you've put in compared to the times you lose another 150 here. But its iffy...

[jmontis]

so you think he has AT huh, i pay it off

[Miffed22001]

so you think he has AT huh, i pay it off

i'd call.
doubt your paying here and if you are its only a few times surely?

[andr3w321]

Here's the results. I couldn't bring myself to lay it down at the time. If he had bet more than half the pot I probably could have.

andr3w321 calls $150
*** SHOW DOWN ***
jxweiss shows [:As: :Tc:] (a straight, Ace high)
andr3w321 mucks
jxweiss wins the pot ($593) with a straight, Ace high
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot $594 | Rake $1
Board: [Qc 9s Jc Kh 5h]
Seat 1: Shane99 (small blind) folded before the Flop
Seat 2: andr3w321 (big blind) mucked [Td 9c] - a straight, King high
Seat 3: jomapr is sitting out
Seat 6: jxweiss (button) showed [As Tc] and won ($593) with a straight, Ace high