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 Originally Posted by GixMage
First off, the goal is to win the pot at a minimal of risk. All in is hardly a minimal risk, and you already have one raiser in the pot. The best stealing conditions involve what is called "first in vigorish", in which you are the first person to enter the pot, and do so with a raise.
Second, it seems the observer made a point in the hh with his comment of "works every time but the last". Always be aware of how you are preceived at the table. Have you been pushing every hand? Is the raiser a tight player?
The goal of bubble play is to increase you chips on the assumption that most of the players will be tentative, trying to limp into the money. You need to find the smallest raise ammount that will get people to fold unless they have a good hand. Watch the hands even when your not playing, making note of the raise sizes and who folds, who calls, etc. If you bet 3X bb and everyone folds, try 2.5X bb. If one player always folds unless he has a monster, always raise his bb if you can enter the pot first. BUT, remember that blind stealing is still a BLUFF. Do not get trapped into thinking you have to play 84os because you already have money in the pot. If you encounter resistance with a bad hand, get out. You will make more money with your steals and reads than gambling with bad cards.
Just my 2 cents.
You're neglecting the fact that he had a hand here. With 44, he was slightly ahead preflop. Not enough, given stack sizes, to make this play worth it IMHO, but he wasn't completely on a steal here, and I think that this play is great against anyone but the big stack at the table.
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