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Good play without a read?

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  1. #1

    Default Good play without a read?

    3-table sng. DeadManMac just moved to my table, so no reads. Do you play it the same?

    PokerStars Game #2968752065: Tournament #14652766, Hold'em No Limit - Level IV (50/100) - 2005/11/04 - 01:58:57 (ET)
    Table '14652766 3' Seat #4 is the button
    Seat 1: easye333 (3715 in chips)
    Seat 2: SODIGIT (930 in chips)
    Seat 4: Dawnell (3520 in chips)
    Seat 5: bdawg56kg (1370 in chips)
    Seat 6: DeadManMac (1650 in chips)
    Seat 7: tkdguy06 (510 in chips)
    Seat 8: Webslinger2 (1190 in chips)
    bdawg56kg: posts small blind 50
    DeadManMac: posts big blind 100
    *** HOLE CARDS ***
    Dealt to bdawg56kg [8s Js]
    tkdguy06: calls 100
    Webslinger2: folds
    easye333: folds
    SODIGIT: folds
    Dawnell: folds
    bdawg56kg: calls 50
    DeadManMac: checks
    *** FLOP *** [Td Ac 9s]
    bdawg56kg: bets 200
    DeadManMac: calls 200
    tkdguy06: folds
    *** TURN *** [Td Ac 9s] [3s]
    bdawg56kg: bets 1070 and is all-in
  2. #2
    I would definitely not play it that way. You've got 15 outs, but there are 46 cards left, so you're only at about 2:1. Pushing the flop with 15 outs is generally good; pushing the turn is generally bad.

    I think my play there would be to semi-bluff again. If he folds, great. If he calls and I miss, I can fold the river. If he raises, well, then I'd see if 2:1 suits the new pot odds I've just been given by his raise.

    It's a bad play, though, the way you have it. If he has an A, you have a 67% chance of losing all your chips.
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  3. #3

    Default Re: Good play without a read?

    Quote Originally Posted by bdawg56kg
    3-table sng. DeadManMac just moved to my table, so no reads. Do you play it the same?

    PokerStars Game #2968752065: Tournament #14652766, Hold'em No Limit - Level IV (50/100) - 2005/11/04 - 01:58:57 (ET)
    Table '14652766 3' Seat #4 is the button
    Seat 1: easye333 (3715 in chips)
    Seat 2: SODIGIT (930 in chips)
    Seat 4: Dawnell (3520 in chips)
    Seat 5: bdawg56kg (1370 in chips)
    Seat 6: DeadManMac (1650 in chips)
    Seat 7: tkdguy06 (510 in chips)
    Seat 8: Webslinger2 (1190 in chips)
    bdawg56kg: posts small blind 50
    DeadManMac: posts big blind 100
    *** HOLE CARDS ***
    Dealt to bdawg56kg [8s Js]
    tkdguy06: calls 100
    Webslinger2: folds
    easye333: folds
    SODIGIT: folds
    Dawnell: folds
    bdawg56kg: calls 50
    DeadManMac: checks
    *** FLOP *** [Td Ac 9s]
    bdawg56kg: bets 200
    DeadManMac: calls 200
    tkdguy06: folds
    *** TURN *** [Td Ac 9s] [3s]
    bdawg56kg: bets 1070 and is all-in
    I don't play it this way. But I can't find fault with your flop bet. The bigger issue at hand is what did tkdguy limp with? I like the sub 300 bet. What would you do if you are reraised on the flop? Did you have a plan on what you would do before you put chips in the pot?

    On the turn, this is a very strong hand to semi-bluff with. You will often times get a weaker ace to fold. The turn pot is t700. I think this pot is now too big to let this hand go, for how strong your hand is, and the real potential to fold a better hand. Here's another way to look at it.

    Stacksizes:
    Fold: t1000
    Steal Pot: t1700
    Win a showdown: t2700

    If you start putting probabilities to winning without a showdown, and winning if it goes to showdown, I'm certain this is a +cEV move.

    FWIW, I would not have even completed the blinds.
  4. #4
    yep, same.
  5. #5
    Fold pre-flop.

    If I'm going to play, it'll be with a raise with that few players in the pot. If you raise pre-flop, chances are limpers are folding to a 3/4 pot flop bet. Your flop bet had no impact because you didn't show any aggressiveness pre-flop

    Here are my preferences:
    1) Fold
    2) Raise PF and throw out the CB
    3) Complete SB
  6. #6
    to each their own, when I'm SS I like playing multi way pots with these types of hands. I complete here with a really wide range.
  7. #7
    drmcboy wrote:
    to each their own, when I'm SS I like playing multi way pots with these types of hands. I complete here with a really wide range.
    Same here, but I fold if I did not hit the flop pretty hard
  8. #8
    Results: Villian called with QT, and I rivered a flush.

    drmcboy, that is exactly my line of thinking. I probably complete here even if I have a medium/big stack. When I'm semi short-stacked, I am looking to accumulate chips, and what can be so bad about paying 50 chips when your stack is 1300 to see a cheap flop? To me raising in this spot is totally out of the question. That would be just spewing chips IMO. I guess I don't understand why everyone is so against limping from the small blind. When is it appropriate to limp?

    Also, Silverfist, I don't understand how you can advocate semibluffing the turn and folding to a raise. If you semibluff you pretty much have to call a push, so why not just push? Granted I know I will be a significant dog if I am called here, but that is not really the point. I thought he had a marginal holding (and I was right) and felt my fold equity was high (because he had a similar stack size), hence the push.

    To address your question Scuba Chuck, if I am raised on the flop, I probably will lay my hand down. If it's a minraise though, I really don't know, that's a tough spot to be in. I think even if I didn't pick up a flush draw on the turn I very well might have pushed, simply because I felt my fold equity was very high, and he would lay down anything less than TPGK. Thoughts?
  9. #9
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    I'm stunned that he called with Queen high. As for the play, it's not that bad considering it's a multi-table tournament and you need chips soon. In a normal SNG this wouldn't be an optimal play, but in these 3 table SNG's you need chips soon so you might as well risk them in a spot where you have fold equity and a ton of outs.
  10. #10
    Quote Originally Posted by bdawg56kg
    Results: Villian called with QT, and I rivered a flush.

    drmcboy, that is exactly my line of thinking. I probably complete here even if I have a medium/big stack. When I'm semi short-stacked, I am looking to accumulate chips, and what can be so bad about paying 50 chips when your stack is 1300 to see a cheap flop? To me raising in this spot is totally out of the question. That would be just spewing chips IMO. I guess I don't understand why everyone is so against limping from the small blind. When is it appropriate to limp?

    Also, Silverfist, I don't understand how you can advocate semibluffing the turn and folding to a raise. If you semibluff you pretty much have to call a push, so why not just push? Granted I know I will be a significant dog if I am called here, but that is not really the point. I thought he had a marginal holding (and I was right) and felt my fold equity was high (because he had a similar stack size), hence the push.

    To address your question Scuba Chuck, if I am raised on the flop, I probably will lay my hand down. If it's a minraise though, I really don't know, that's a tough spot to be in. I think even if I didn't pick up a flush draw on the turn I very well might have pushed, simply because I felt my fold equity was very high, and he would lay down anything less than TPGK. Thoughts?
    Regarding the complete from the SB. There is merits to both points of view. From my study, it's a long term loss accumulator. But at the same time, even though it may be a loss in summation, the times that it is profitable, it can have a significant impact on your finish distribution, whereas the loss of the 50 chips may have zero impact on your finish. This point is just debatable, and there is no always right or always wrong answer. The more chips I have, the more likely I am to complete, due to the theory that when you have more chips, the less they are worth.

    Regarding your question, I think your postflop thoughts are god awful. This is a great reason why I think you shouldn't even complete. Knowing how to play postflop is the main reason to complete, but when you start to get lost, or you don't have a game plan for once you start throwing chips in the middle, you are going to find a painful finish. This hand turned out well for you. I'm glad. I think you played the turn well considering the turn card. But I think it's important to have a plan.

    FWIW, I learned sometime in my past that I was spewing the most amount of chips from the blinds. I was always getting into hands that I'm not used to playing with my tight aggressive style. Meaning that I'm used to playing very aggressive when I hit a piece of the flop. Being selectively aggressive is wise (like being aggressive with that turn card), but to push ont he turn even without the flush draw is a monumental error, IMO.

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