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Reading Players At Low Buyin SnGs
The largest hole in my game during a SnG (well, in ring games too) is trying to decide if I am ahead or behind in a hand, after I raise preflop and throw out my continuation bet.
I play at the $5 and $10 sit and go levels on Pokerstars, which plays a large role in the dilemna I'm having...especially if it is early in the tournament (there are alot of newer players who really have no concept of what their bets/calls/raises are actually saying).
For example, I pick up a hand like AK or AQs and fire out my standard 4-5x pfr (I find a 3x raise just doesnt limit the field enough at this buy-in level). I get called, the flop comes, and it pairs either my ace or my kicker.
I put the continuation bet out there, and get at least one caller (sometimes I get raised). If there is a flush draw on the board, and I get flat called, I will usually put this type of player on the draw, and have no problem firing out a second bet on the turn to see where I stand. When I'm raised (on the flop), I'm in a tight spot, because with no reads it is extremely difficult for me to decide whether a player has picked up a stronger hand, or if they are simply overplaying their pair of aces with a weaker kicker. Usually in this situation I lay my hand down because I simply do not have enough information about the player to put them on a hand.
I can't count the number of times that I've continuation bet, and get called or raised by someone with a hand like A9. After I see the A9, I'll say out loud to myself 'What is this guy crazy? What is he even doing in the pot with me?'
I guess what I'm really trying to say, is that during the early stages of a low buyin SnG, I've got no idea what the other players are up to. It makes me extremely hesitant to even consider showing down the hand after I get a call/raise... even though a large portion of the time I'm actually ahead.
I suppose this is the reason that most people reccomend just laying low during the early stages of the tournament and studying your opponents... I often find myself wanting to move up out of my bankroll, just so I can more accurately put the other players on hands. I know this type of thinking is -EV... and I should actually be happy that other players are making bad plays...
I find myself either getting knocked out really early in a tournament, running into a set or a really well hidden straight.... OR I double up early, and coast to the bubble (this is usually where the blinds start getting high enough to be worth stealing) where I can play my bubble game. OR my stack doesnt increase at all, or even slightly decreases, I get near the bubble, and I'm shortstacked, fighting for my life pushing at every opportunity, eventually running into an extremely strong hand or getting called by a gambler and losing the flip.
I dont know if I really even have a question... I've read alot of the SnG guides on this site and others... I have a basic idea of what I'm "Supposed" to do.. But I still cant seem to build my bankroll. Actually, right now my bankroll is decreasing.
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