JJ early on

[JeffreyGB]

Thoughts? It's early on and this player was new to the table, so no reads. In general, do you think a player is check-calling to the river with Tx here?

***** Hand History for Game 3283177791 *****
NL Texas Hold'em Trny:18720419 Level:2 Blinds (10/20) - Thursday, December 29, 22:44:57 EDT 2005
Table $40K Guaranteed(553835) Table #153 (Real Money)
Seat 2 is the button
Total number of players : 10
Seat 1: LuckyLaDonna ( $1355 )
Seat 2: cubuff25 ( $1910 )
Seat 4: surplusbuyus ( $1700 )
Seat 5: JGB146PP ( $1705 )
Seat 6: aronkap ( $920 )
Seat 7: xxxshrekxxx ( $1790 )
Seat 8: TL2004 ( $910 )
Seat 10: rtouchet ( $565 )
Seat 9: jtreddog ( $1375 )
Seat 3: SeminoleSlim ( $1680 )
Trny:18720419 Level:2
Blinds (10/20)
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to JGB146PP [ Jc Jh ]
JGB146PP calls [20].
aronkap calls [20].
xxxshrekxxx folds.
TL2004 folds.
jtreddog folds.
rtouchet folds.
LuckyLaDonna folds.
cubuff25 calls [20].
SeminoleSlim calls [10].
surplusbuyus checks.
** Dealing Flop ** [ 4d, 7d, Ts ]
SeminoleSlim checks.
surplusbuyus checks.
JGB146PP bets [100].
aronkap folds.
cubuff25 folds.
SeminoleSlim calls [100].
surplusbuyus folds.
** Dealing Turn ** [ 4h ]
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SeminoleSlim checks.
JGB146PP bets [175].
SeminoleSlim calls [175].
** Dealing River ** [ Tc ]
SeminoleSlim bets [300].
JGB146PP ???

[bearcats05]

fold you've got to beat here most of the time.

why didnt you raise preflop?

[JeffreyGB]

why didnt you raise preflop?

OOP plus I'm pretty confident with my postflop play with Jacks. I think playing them for overs + set in this spot is much more profitable. If not for the river, I'm confident I had the best hand here, and stood to take down a pretty decent sized pot. Yet if the flop had contained much paint, I didn't invest much in a pot I'm drawing to 2 outs in.

[bearcats05]

true, but your post flop play would be easier with less people in the hand.

[JeffreyGB]

Regardless of the preflop argument (I'm comfortable and confident in how I handle that), do you think top pair is check-calling to the river like this and then leading out? It seems questionable to me. Getting 3:1, I only have to be ahead 25% of the time for this to be a profitable call.

[bearcats05]

you are probably ahead 25% of the time atleast here so i guess you can call. i think he has a 10 and a weak kicker so he feels confident now with the full house, am i right?

[Muxy]

busted flush draw. he bets when he misses.