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AKs in Rebuy just after the break

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  1. #1

    Default AKs in Rebuy just after the break

    Do you play anything in this hand differently? How do you go from here?

    PokerStars Game #3527213982: Tournament #17356576, Hold'em No Limit - Level V (75/150) - 2006/01/03 - 23:29:29 (ET)
    Table '17356576 140' Seat #3 is the button
    Seat 1: sunsfan13 (13045 in chips)
    Seat 2: nicole33 (4775 in chips)
    Seat 3: pcfadul (10510 in chips)
    Seat 4: truthdove (2825 in chips)
    Seat 5: pens66 (9525 in chips)
    Seat 6: JGB146 (7915 in chips)
    Seat 7: jw5000 (4685 in chips) is sitting out
    Seat 8: Speer8 (3165 in chips)
    Seat 9: Johnster (15735 in chips)
    truthdove: posts small blind 75
    pens66: posts big blind 150
    *** HOLE CARDS ***
    Dealt to JGB146 [Ks As]
    JGB146: raises 300 to 450
    jw5000: folds
    Speer8: folds
    Johnster: folds
    sunsfan13: folds
    nicole33: folds
    pcfadul: folds
    truthdove: folds
    pens66: calls 300
    *** FLOP *** [9h 3s Kh]
    pens66: checks
    JGB146: bets 600
    pens66: raises 600 to 1200
    JGB146: raises 1950 to 3150
    pens66: calls 1950
    *** TURN *** [9h 3s Kh] [Ts]
    pens66: checks
    JGB146: ???
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  2. #2
    Having gone bust early second hour for the last ten or so tournaments in a row this is where I'd be paranoid enough to smell the stink of trips. Being who I am I'd AI and go bust here as well, but I assume the best thing to do is check and pray for the flush.

    Sten
  3. #3
    gabe's Avatar
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    i call his raise and lead the turn for half pot. if he raises you twice your hand is probably not good, unless you have a read.
  4. #4
    If he has trips, why wouldn't he just put you all in after you reraise his mini check raise on the flop? I think he is on a flush draw. Pop him on the turn. You have TP and a draw now as well and his check shows weakness.
  5. #5
    storm75m's Avatar
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    His check could also mean he's trying to get you to commit the rest of your stack, cause he knows you'll bet something if checked to. This is very scary indeed, after he calls your huge raise. I'm stuck here between checking behind or betting about $1200, and folding to any raise. I know the $1200 bet looks weak, but it may get him to check to you again on the next street, so you can see a showdown without going broke.
    Lack of Discipline and Over-Confidence... The root of all poker evil.
  6. #6
    seems weird for a set to check there, I'm almost more worried about something random like KT.

    Hmm. Gabe's line is probably best, I would agree if he CR twice you can't be good. If he leads turn at you... I probably give him credit, might depend on bet size. maybe he'll let you show down/chase cheap.

    As played, I think check behind is probably best sitting here in my cube - if I was playing, I would see my flush outs and likely push.
  7. #7
    You've put in half you stack. You have TPTK with the nut flush draw. You can't fold this. I can see KQ, KJ or a heart draw here. Push the turn.
  8. #8
    I think I agree with gabe and lead half pot to extract more value if I'm ahead. I'm not afraid of being raised off my draw because I'm not folding.

    I'm not sure if I like the flop raise though. You're building a big pot when you don't know where you stand and the way it played out it didn't give you much information on where you stand. You have position, I say use it, call the flop miniraise and leave our villian in the dark.
  9. #9

    Default yeah

    i agreee with bob hes prolly on the heart flush draw - bet him hard on the turn make him pay to see his draw.

    sometimes i think everyone is bluffing, sometimes i get paranoid and think everyone has 2 pair or sets. Truth is in the middle somewhere usually.
  10. #10
    That is a weird ass min-raise for a flush draw.... not impossible, just... odd.

    I think he has a set here, and I have put enough into this pot. I bet his m/r is a test to see if YOU have 2 hearts. Since you re-raised, a draw is very unlikely unless it's at least got a GSSD (TJh/JQh) to go with it. A3h is somewhat less likely, but believable. MOST likely you have AK/KK/KQ.

    That was a pretty dang good turn card, unless he's holding QJ (hearts most likely).
    May as well check behind. If a heart falls, he will probably make a small bet on the river either way. He might even check with a flush or nut straight!

    F/D is way more common than a set/two pair/over pair, but I think that's a very wierdly played F/D.

    Worst case scenario if you check turn and non/spade non/heart comes on the river and he pushes with KQ.

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