call or fold?

[mpc2323]

PokerStars Game #3498973608: Tournament #17361823, Hold'em No Limit - Level IV (50/100) - 2006/01/01 - 12:37:58 (ET)
Table '17361823 1' Seat #6 is the button
Seat 1: dirtyhalf021 (863 in chips)
Seat 2: losof (1315 in chips)
Seat 3: xnagyg (3023 in chips)
Seat 6: tombakaos (1102 in chips)
Seat 7: mpc2323 (3223 in chips)
Seat 8: hotpopped (3974 in chips)
mpc2323: posts small blind 50
hotpopped: posts big blind 100
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to mpc2323 [5s 3s]
dirtyhalf021: folds
losof: calls 100
xnagyg: folds
tombakaos: calls 100
mpc2323: calls 50
hotpopped: checks
*** FLOP *** [Ts 3c 5c]
mpc2323: bets 125
hotpopped: raises 3749 to 3874 and is all-in
losof: folds
tombakaos: folds
mpc2323: folds
hotpopped collected 650 from pot
hotpopped: doesn't show hand
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot 650 | Rake 0
Board [Ts 3c 5c]
Seat 1: dirtyhalf021 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 2: losof folded on the Flop
Seat 3: xnagyg folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 6: tombakaos (button) folded on the Flop
Seat 7: mpc2323 (small blind) folded on the Flop
Seat 8: hotpopped (big blind) collected (650)

[Sprayed]

You bet too small on the flop and he is probably on a flush draw and is trying to force you out. I would think that he would have raised pre-flop with 1010 and 33 and 55 is unlikely because you hold one of each. It is possible that he has trip 3 or 5. What is the buy-in? You are one of the chip leaders so it is a difficult call and he has you covered. He definitely doesn't want you to call.

Bet more on the flop.

Call the all in reraise without question, in my opinion. He's not playing a set that way, and he probably doesn't have T5 or T3, = you have the edge.

[nogenius]

Without a read, I insta-call.

[TLR]

I would call.
He is either on a flush draw or has Top pair trying to protect from draws, either way you are ahead

[GatorJH]

I would call this. More and more lately I have been seeing people majorly overbet pots as pure bluff moves as part of an aggression strategy. I think the only hand that you should be worried about here is 10 10 and I would pay that off.

If this isn't a total steal attempt he probably has something like A10 or K10 and wants to end it right there.

[mpc2323]

yea I think I was ahead but the series of suckouts leading to this one hand made it an insta fold for me... I cant believe the bad runs Im getting lately.....about 20times ahead about 85% and I lose on the river. I dont know whats going on. I am down about 300$

[Halv]

BAD. Let me say it again: BAD! Do not let suckouts affect your play. Ever. Ever. If you think you are ahead but can't play accordingly, stop playing.

yea I think I was ahead but the series of suckouts leading to this one hand made it an insta fold for me... I cant believe the bad runs Im getting lately.....about 20times ahead about 85% and I lose on the river.

Don't stop pushing edges because of a downswing.

[gregor]

i call that.... he doesn't want a call....i'd probably put him on a weak 10... If he goes all in on a random trip, its a bad move, you'll lay down almost anything...

I think you are way ahead....

[baudib]

I think I might actually lay this down. He probably has a flush draw or 10 and an overcard and that gives him plenty of outs to beat you. 10 and a flush draw is also a possible scenario.

[konahead]

If you've seen opp come over the top regularly, it may be a call, but other than that, I don't think it's worth it here - he's got you covered and may actually be ahead with something like KTclubs or 24clubs - with at least 14 outs twice....

With 2 cards to come, I believe hands like KTclubs and 24clubs are ahead of bottom two pair here - anyone know for sure?

Of course, he may just have the T and be concerned that you're on a flush draw and wants to nip it in the bud, but is it worth it to find out? I don't think so. You have a good stack - wait for a better spot - no need to butt heads with the only opp that can take you out...

[biondino]

Call. Definitely.

[TLR]

[quate]With 2 cards to come, I believe hands like KTclubs and 24clubs are ahead of bottom two pair here - anyone know for sure? [quate]

both are about 50/50

[samsonite2100]

I read this as villain having AA/KK, and thinking you're betting top pair. Still, this is a hard one, for me anyway, since I hate calling all-ins. Also, two pair never seems to hold up. Dunno, I'm a pussy...

[Muxy]

Easy call