OMG variance

[K2 the ArmA]

first 80 sngs at 15+1, roi 62%
next 90 sngs at 15+1, roi -70%

wtf mate?

I 4 table single table 15+1 turbos on stars, this is killing me, i was looking forward to moving up to 25+2's soon at 1200$ or so. now im at 430$ and am still seeing the same crap. I'm so often losing races and 60/40 flips that even when i have the other player to two outs, i expect to lose! I started this run at 500$ and and now im not sure if i should move down in stakes or not. should i stick it out?

[gabe]

move down and get some confidence back

[vqc]

first 80 sngs at 15+1, roi 62%
next 90 sngs at 15+1, roi -70%

wtf mate?

I 4 table single table 15+1 turbos on stars, this is killing me, i was looking forward to moving up to 25+2's soon at 1200$ or so. now im at 430$ and am still seeing the same crap. I'm so often losing races and 60/40 flips that even when i have the other player to two outs, i expect to lose! I started this run at 500$ and and now im not sure if i should move down in stakes or not. should i stick it out?

move down

ur break even over 170 SNGs
nothing to call home about.

[taipan168]

You're still more or less bankrolled for single tabling the 15+1s, so maybe stay at the 15+1s but single rather than multi-table - will give you a chance to focus on each game carefully and check for any leaks.

[THaC]

Heh, K2, you're an FTRer .. ?! I played in the 10+1 with you last night - TbHackworth.

Anyways - when I get bad variance, I move down to 1 table, try to sort things out, look for the plays I'd usually miss when I'm multi-tabling, etc. I'm noticing an increase on my ROI now that I'm down to single tabling.

[TLR]

Go over hand histories, try to figure out if your game has changed, do you play too loosly, too tight etc...

[K2 the ArmA]

Haha hey THac, how'd you do last night??

Thanks for the replies guys. I looked over a ton of HH's today and noticed how often I seem to raise hands like qjs, qjo, kqo and then get pushed over the top where I have to fold. I'd say about 1 in 6 times i have my money all in I have the better hand, 55-45 counts . Ill try 2 tabling or even single tabling for a while and then if im still dying ill head down a notch.

[THaC]

I finished 23rd for around $40. And yeah, those hands will get ya, slowly bleeding the chips out of you.

[lambchopdc]

first 80 sngs at 15+1, roi 62%
next 90 sngs at 15+1, roi -70%

wtf mate?

I 4 table single table 15+1 turbos on stars, this is killing me, i was looking forward to moving up to 25+2's soon at 1200$ or so. now im at 430$ and am still seeing the same crap. I'm so often losing races and 60/40 flips that even when i have the other player to two outs, i expect to lose! I started this run at 500$ and and now im not sure if i should move down in stakes or not. should i stick it out?

Stick it out, this is standard Stars turbo variance. I do highly recommend single-tabling your way through the downswing tho. Here is my swings from the $55+5s -

[ProZachNation]

loooks like a roller coaster!

Yeah I have been on a downswing four tabling, going to be moving down to one table, and then adding one more once I have played a buncha and am back on track.