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 Originally Posted by THaC
I don't think so.. he limps UTG and flat calls, then shoves it all in.. I gotta think you're beat here.
I won't argue that it's *impossible* the big stack is ahead, but if he was limping with a big pair, why allow a raise AND a call behind him, and then not re-raise to get more chips in the pot, and possibly isolate one of us? To me, at the time, it seemed like his actions were exactly consistent with a small or medium pocket pair, most or all of which I am ahead of.
 Originally Posted by zenbitz
If my math is right, you are getting 8:5... but you will survive if short stack beats you (which is good because he played it like he has at least QQ).
Chip stacks are important here. It's better than me surviving - I come out ahead on the play as long as I beat the big stack. Consider: I had roughly 5500 before the hand started. As of the point at which I either call or don't call, there are two pots: 1. a main pot of 4500 with the short stack all in (and 1500 of my call would go into that pot); 2. a side pot of 3500 (the rest of my call against the big stack's push). If I call and only beat the big stack, I still end up with 7000 chips. Although it looks a lot better if I win against both of them, because then I'd have 13000.
To me the hand looks like this: big stack limp-calls with a medium pair, then sees a flop that looks like a pair might be good, and pushes to discourage me from playing a better hand than his (which worked), or maybe just because that's his default play with a medium pair on that kind of flop. Short stack will probably call with anything - of course an overpair, if he has one, but also any two overcards. I put his range at something like AQ, AK, TT-AA. I put big stack's range as 22-TT, plus perhaps 67s.
My take on it is that if you're going to call the short stack's raise pre-flop in the first place, you have to call his all in on that flop. And the big stack is telegraphing a fairly weak hand, which I feel I am probably way ahead of.
Thoughts?
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