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 Originally Posted by Genitruc
U put him on a-x of spades or a set?
Would he push this without top 2 or a set?
Sounds like an easy fold.
This villain plays A8 to my UTG raise exactly 0% of the time. I doubt he plays AsQs, maybe AsKs.
At the time, my range for him was something like 88, 44, AK, 5s6s, 6s7s, 9sTs, TsJs: with AK and the suited connectors only being played some of the time preflop.
If this guy likes to push on the turn, just trap him with a big hand later, bet the flop, just call his raise then check the turn and let him push. This will make up for 4 or 5 small pots that he steals from you. It's OK to fold those small pots.
I think your advice in the paragraph above this one is solid, albeit a bit conservative, but how often do you think a situation like this comes up??? I played 3000 hands last night, maybe 400-500 with this villain, and this is the only major pot I played with him...
I think my standard line is to CR AI a blank turn. Is villian tilted enough to push you off an A-high flop after you raised UTG? Personally I don't think the flush card should scare you so much, and with the right read this could easily become a call.
The flush card certainly matters, because it basically seals my fate... the only thing I now beat is a bluff. All flop semi-bluffs now have me dead.
My plan was to either lead strong on the turn or c/r allin, with emphasis on the latter, but ONLY on a safe turn. Villain in this hand was Fnord btw. I'm kinda torn on this because he's seen me stack off with TPTK before at 100bb deep, but I think that he thinks he can push me off AK here. I think he puts me on a range of something like TT-AA, AQs+, AKo preflop or something similar. AK plays pretty terribly to that range so I think he dumps that more often then not preflop. If he had a spaded suited connector post-flop his play would be great, but I don't know if he's calling my UTG raise first in with those. In hindsight, I think he has 44/88 a very good portion of the time and the 3rd spade saved my ass.
edit: ugh, meant to say emphasis on the former, meaning leading the turn favored over c/r...
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