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 Originally Posted by drmcboy
Do you give up FE going from 1300 to 1100? prolly not much.
I think you are only considering part of the equation. First off, I think you are potentially giving up some FE against 2 to your left and 3 to your left.
But more importantly, I think we should consider the value of the chips gained vs chips lost. If you're assuming that you think hero has pretty much no FE with your above statement, then I certainly think there's a potential for a mistake for completing here. You hope to be called, and you want to double up. 1300 translates to 2600. 1100 translates to 2200. So, you're not giving up 200, but 400 chips.
Now, how do we calculate the EV (chip-wise) to limping here. If you can make a compelling case that limping here is worth over 200 chips, then you have a case - I guess. But, what is going on with an UTG limper putting in 20% of his stack. Even if this doesn't scare you, you should feel pretty certain that our card equity sucks against his. Furthermore, there's a third player in the hand. Preflop, I doubt we have 33% pot equity. Please do not read that I am saying we're not getting proper odds to call, because we are. Assuming BB knocks, we only need to win the hand 16% of the time for this completion to be +cEV. I would think we have at least 16% card equity preflop. But cEV does not equal $EV.
There isn't much of a debate, IMO, cos I think hero's position really sucks. So calling isn't atrocious. But, I do think he has considerable FE against the BB's of the next two hands.
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