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AA river decision

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  1. #1

    Default AA river decision

    Villain's pretty loose/donkish. I've seen him chase a few draws, bet bottom pair, top pair no kicker, etc. His check/calling is getting me worried though. Bet for value here or just check?

    Full Tilt Poker
    No Limit Holdem Ring game
    Blinds: $0.25/$0.50
    6 players
    Converter

    Stack sizes:
    UTG: $16.80
    UTG+1: $111.30
    CO: $71.45
    Hero: $43.25
    SB: $50.20
    BB: $129.20

    Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is Button with A A
    3 folds, Hero raises to $2, SB calls $1.75, BB folds.

    Flop: 3 T 2 ($4.5, 2 players)
    SB checks, Hero bets $4, SB calls $4.

    Turn: 5 ($12.5, 2 players)
    SB checks, Hero bets $10, SB calls $10.

    River: K ($32.5, 2 players)
    SB checks, Hero ???
  2. #2
    I prefer a check. You might be able to squeeze a little bit more out of him if he has a mediocre hand, but I'd rather check behind and let him show his club draw, rather than have him fold it.
  3. #3
    My bad...

    River: K ($32.5, 2 players)
    SB checks, Hero bets $27, SB calls $27.

    Results:
    Final pot: $86.5
    Hero showed As Ac
    SB mucks Ad 3h

    So much for only getting called by a better hand. I 6 max.
  4. #4
    Without looking at the results, this is an easy value bet against a goofball at 6-max. If he had a better hand he would have led the river - even if it was weakly in an attempt to get you to come over the top.
    Here it looks like he's just calling down with a pair again.
    Something in the $15 to $25 range should be callable.

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