10sng(ap) Opp has QQ Do i push?

[Miffed22001]

Go ahead and push here? Almost certain miniraising donkey has QQ not KK or AA making all my outs clean. If opp has AK i dont think he can call my pooosh anyway, but SNG players are great at proving me wrong...

Holdem Single Tournament No Limit $15 - 2006-04-11 11:04:54 (ET)
Table: (Real Money) Seat #6 is the dealer
Seat 1 - PEAR_OHH ($1340 in chips)
Seat 2 - CRAIGM1 ($1470 in chips)
Seat 3 - MIFFED22001 ($1480 in chips)
Seat 4 - PIFAN ($1650 in chips)
Seat 5 - STAB73 ($1310 in chips)
Seat 6 - ASTAROS ($1320 in chips)
Seat 7 - CHICAGOIRISH ($1410 in chips)
Seat 8 - SAMMYLEEJR7 ($1460 in chips)
Seat 9 - JEANWOLF ($2060 in chips)
CHICAGOIRISH - Posts small blind $15
SAMMYLEEJR7 - Posts big blind $30
*** POCKET CARDS ***
Dealt to MIFFED22001 [Kh Ah]
JEANWOLF - Folds
PEAR_OHH - Calls $30
CRAIGM1 - Folds
MIFFED22001 - Raises $90 to $90
PIFAN - Folds
STAB73 - Folds
ASTAROS - Folds
CHICAGOIRISH - Folds
SAMMYLEEJR7 - Raises $150 to $180
PEAR_OHH - Folds
MIFFED22001 - Calls $90
*** FLOP *** [Jd 2h Jh]
SAMMYLEEJR7 - Bets $450
MIFFED22001 - All-In(Raise) $1300 to $1300
SAMMYLEEJR7 - All-In $830
MIFFED22001 - returned ($20) : not called
*** TURN *** [Jd 2h Jh] [8s]
*** RIVER *** [Jd 2h Jh 8s] [Qc]
*** SHOW DOWN ***
MIFFED22001 - Shows [Kh Ah] (One pair, jacks)
SAMMYLEEJR7 - Shows [Qh Qd] (Full house, queens full of jacks)
SAMMYLEEJR7 Collects $2965 from main pot
*** SUMMARY ***
Total Pot($2965)
Board [Jd 2h Jh 8s Qc]
Seat 1: PEAR_OHH Folded on the POCKET CARDS
Seat 2: CRAIGM1 Folded on the POCKET CARDS
Seat 3: MIFFED22001 HI:lost with One pair, jacks [Kh Ah - B:Jh,B:Jd,P:Ah,P:Kh,B:Qc]
Seat 4: PIFAN Folded on the POCKET CARDS
Seat 5: STAB73 Folded on the POCKET CARDS
Seat 6: ASTAROS (dealer) Folded on the POCKET CARDS
Seat 7: CHICAGOIRISH (small blind) Folded on the POCKET CARDS
Seat 8: SAMMYLEEJR7 (big blind) won Total ($2965) All-In HI$2965) with Full house, queens full of jacks [Qh Qd - P:Qh,P:Qd,B:Qc,B:Jh,B:Jd]
Seat 9: JEANWOLF Folded on the POCKET CARDS

cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
Ah Kh 482 48.69 508 51.31 0 0.00 0.487
Qs Qh 508 51.31 482 48.69 0 0.00 0.513

[givememyleg]

How can you be so sure he has QQ?

It is too early for me to gamble for all my chips.

Pushing isn't too bad, but like I said above too early for me. You do have tons of outs and might even be a favorite. Not worth it to me.

[Miffed22001]

How can you be so sure he has QQ?

It is too early for me to gamble for all my chips.

Pushing isn't too bad, but like I said above too early for me. You do have tons of outs and might even be a favorite. Not worth it to me.

Ive played too many games to recognise this line even, if they werent sngs. Id have bet my house on opp turning QQ here. (player notes suggested he minraised QQ but pushed KK/AA too)

Other points too. Its early, i have a definate edge on these players so i guess folding is a serious option, its only a 400pot with 1100 behind (deeper AP stacks) I also thought the board gave me some folding equity, op cant call with AK imo (unless hes bloody awful) and has to seriously question whether i opened with JJ or Jx or even AA/KK. I was surprised opp took so long to call actually. The ev on this hand is so close along with the fact its so early and a reasonably small amount of my stack invested i considered it a total 50/50 but im wondering what others thought.

[GatorJH]

villian has told you twice that he has a hand. Do you think he will fold to a push? If he has QQ I doubt it. Now you are hoping to hit your flush to stay in the game and villian isn't giving you the right odds to chase it. Although this is close I probably would fold this at this stage of the tourney.

BTW, I am assuming you are calling him a minraising donkey because of prior reads. I don't see any minraises with this hand.