22RRRRRRR. Will he hang himself on the river?

[vqc]

***** Hand History for Game 3970131530 *****
NL Texas Hold'em $22 Buy-in Trny:22080840 Level:2 Blinds(30/60) - Thursday, April 13, 20:39:14 ET 2006
Table Dead Man Table (Real Money)
Seat 2 is the button
Total number of players : 9
Seat 4: andycu ( $1600 )
Seat 5: fahha ( $1655 )
Seat 8: SirNicke ( $1480 )
Seat 9: shadowside ( $1692 )
Seat 10: canalope111 ( $4302 )
Seat 1: HughE_Rectn ( $1420 )
Seat 6: bmw9600 ( $4550 )
Seat 2: Brockyrocks ( $1106 )
Seat 3: TheBoneHer ( $2195 )
Trny:22080840 Level:2
Blinds(30/60)
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to TheBoneHer [ Jc Th ]
fahha calls [60].
bmw9600 folds.
SirNicke folds.
shadowside folds.
canalope111 calls [60].
HughE_Rectn folds.
Brockyrocks calls [60].
TheBoneHer calls [30].
andycu checks.
** Dealing Flop ** [ Jh, Js, 9s ]
TheBoneHer bets [200].
andycu folds.
fahha calls [200].
canalope111 folds.
Brockyrocks folds.
** Dealing Turn ** [ Ac ]
TheBoneHer bets [500].
fahha calls [500].
** Dealing River ** [ Tc ]
TheBoneHer ???

If I check here will he hang himself?

[Fnord]

I just push all-in.

[Staresy]

I don't like checking here. I think you just miss bets by allowing a guy with an Ace to just showdown for free here. He could put you on a busted draw, but would u really play it that hard with a paired board? Plus, can he really be that confident to bet out on that alone?

I think the way you make money is to lead out again.

[kingnat]

I think the best play here would be to bet the same 500 as you did on the turn... I think there is a better probability that he'd call that, or read you as weak and push, than if he calls. And a high enough probability that it'll be better long-term than pushing... but that's probably a guess and I don't have any experience w/ $22 speed tourneys (this is a speed right?)

[vqc]

naRRRRRRRRRR

R = regulaRRRRRRRRRRR

[zenbitz]

What could he have here?

spade draw, maybe with and A.
straight draw, KQ, although inside.
Some kinda underpair that refuses to believe you have a 9 or J. He actually could have a big pair here, limped UTG, and is letting YOU hang yourself. (AA!).

A9? What hand does he flat call that turn with? Got to be better than TP, or a spade draw.

I think he bets if you check; might even bluff with a draw.

[johnnyawe]

I would bet 500 - 1000.

[MAX]

Value bet. The only time checking is correct is when you are sure opp. was on a draw and will take a shot at a bluff when checked to. Otherwise you should be value betting. In this case, I try to bet out enough that opp thought process is "Well, If I'm gonna call that, I might as well just put it all in." About 500 on the river should do it.

[Stripclubjunkie]

I just push all-in.