Quote Originally Posted by johnnyBuz
what can he put you on that would make him not call though? yes there is a straight draw and flush draw out there, so at worst he is a coinflip right? (or am i wrong?)
It depends a lot more on what he can or cannot call with. I am repping a huge hand, so I would say he needs top-two at least to call this push. Calling my push with AT here is very -EV in the long run.

Quote Originally Posted by johnnyBuz
he could easily have a set on the flop or an overpair. i don't think your checkraise works in this situation because i would put you on air/draw. (maybe since i saw the cards its easier to say this, but i realistically don't see him folding)

can you post the outcome in white or something?
I just don't think a solid player plays a set like this. I think he most likely will raise the flop, or bet more on the turn. Also, what overpair could he have? JJ and maybe QQ, but I doubt it. I think JJ (and probably QQ) are pretty easy folds in this spot for villian. And yes, I'm very capable of playing a set or overpair this exact same way. Lastly, air is *almost* never in my range here.

Oh yeah, and he folded pretty quickly.