not trusting my own judgement

[Wyvver]

I just wrote a lengthy post about this, just to have my IE crash, so here is it again...shorter this time

In MTTs (the reason I posted this here btw is that I play 90% of the time MTTs, so I need advice for those mostly ), I find that my biggest problem as a new holdem player is trusting my own judgement and reads.

I find myself in situations where I KNOW what is the right thing to do (usually fold because someone has me beat). 90% of the time I do what I think is the right decision, but 10% of the time I knowingly act the wrong way talking myself into why I need to see the flop/turn/river.
This is really becoming a problem, as I feel considering Im a new player my play is rather solid, but those few bad decisions are way to expensive in tournaments.

The other thing is trusting my own reads on people. At the beginning I thought I couldnt read anyone, but at some point I started realising the first thing I think when someone makes a move is nearly always the closest to the truth.
The longer I think about what someone may hold, the higher the chances I talk myself into something I WANT him to hold.

It goes something like:
Someone raises and the first thing, due to the situation and players, that comes to my mind is "he is holding xyz".
If I dont think more about it anymore, I seem to be right or very close very often. But sometimes I start thinking and thinking and then suddenly Im convinced he holds what I want him to hold

It sounds like since Im aware of those two problems, it should be easy to overcome them. But its not.
If anyone has and hints, Id appreciate it very much

[drmcboy]

most of the time, plays are obvious and are exactly what they look like. Every once in a while, they aren't.

The times you think long are probably the times someone has made a non obvious play.

there is no 'fix', as I assume you already know. Sometimes you will make an incorrect decision, you can color it however you want.

One thing you could try as an experiment is make every decision as quickly as possible... say within a count of 5, for a few tourneys.

[zenbitz]

Easy, trust your judgment when you are right, not when you are wrong.

[Wyvver]

most of the time, plays are obvious and are exactly what they look like. Every once in a while, they aren't.

The times you think long are probably the times someone has made a non obvious play.

Thats the problem, if it really was like that I could live with it. But I have the 'thinking to long and making the wrong decision when I know its wrong'-problem with reads that I know are correct.

Like a flop comes with me and someone else in. I have TPTK, but say at the river I realise he has made 2 pairs and I should fold.

Its like a gollum/smeagol discussion:
Im thinking...only 1 bet to call...noo he HAS two pairs you know it, DONT CALL...but maybe he is bluffing? Just one bet...only one bet! Why? Why call when you have lost? Dont! *clicks call*
XYZ shows 2 pairs.

Dont get me wrong thats not happening all the time, just sometimes But when it does happen I feel like an idiot right after clicking the call button. I think Ill really try the suggestion to always make my decisions very fast. Maybe it works, I really feel like thinking to long hurts my decisions.

Edit: Just realised something...the only time I get to know if my read was correct is when I stay in the pot...hmm ^^

[givememyleg]

Easy, trust your judgment when you are right, not when you are wrong.

Ya exactly. Just fold when you're beat and raise when you're ahead. I don't see what's so hard about it..