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 Originally Posted by Scuba Chuck
I hope you realize that the hand we're discussing (AQ) most likely is a fold , maybe call, preflop against most donkey bigstacks.
In terms of getting to know calling ranges, that just comes with experience. That could be costly, but most likely not too costly as you will usually have decent card equity when you play back at people. So while you may be making -EV plays while you figure this out, it's not always likely to be overly negative.
In this spot though, it's the bubble. Your decision clearly demonstrates some bubble fundamentals you are not paying attention to. There is only one hand that I am playing the way you did. Otherwise, I will usually fold, or call and see a flop based one my read of bigstack.
If you need help with hand ranges, in this spot, try putting bigstack on any two (which is * in sngpt). Then review your decision based on this information.
Text results appended to pokerstove.txt
1,602,716,544 games 4.094 secs 391,479,370 games/sec
Board:
Dead:
equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 55.9017 % 54.95% 00.95% { AKo }
Hand 2: 44.0983 % 43.15% 00.95% { QQ-66, ATs-A2s, KTs+ }
I may be being a little crazy with the all the Aces and Kings . I have 2 of them myself. Iam attempting to pair up one of those cards and even with that said - Iam still ahead if he holds an Ace or King. Any PP Iam behind here. However; I cant put him on just 2 cards if Iam trying to put him on a range of hands to see how mine compares. Ok so If I win almost 55% of the time... And my ranges are close.. This is +ev. Help if Iam wrong. Although he only has 1640 - Wouldnt this make is - EV . Iam only getting paid 1640 and I have 1900. Just because I may win the hand 55 % of the time doesnt mean its + EV right.. ? Iam confused now..
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