Quote Originally Posted by dsaxton
I think it's probably a question of how much "marginal equity" a bet has. That is, how much equity is added by getting him to fold the better hand, since my hand is already good a decent percentage of the time here.

If you were to assess the profitability of a bet like this, I think you would have to determine the probability that he holds a better hand, multiply this by the probability that he folds it and then multiply this number by the pot size. That would basically be what I expect to win by betting. That amount is probably too small for this bet to have positive expectation, since my hand is good so often, and yet too marginal for a worse hand to ever call.

I think you could probably generalize this for bluffing in general, except in the case of most bluffs, the probabily that your opponent is holding the best hand is much higher.

Thoughts?
Right on. I was thinking the exact same thing. If you can guesstimate a couple percentages on how often your good and how often he's calling and take into account the current size of the pot you probably would come up with a specific bet size if there was a bet at all. But its gonna be pretty difficult doing all of that in 15 seconds. Too much maff doh, I jus like to play mees some pokah.