ITM KJo

[andr3w321]

What do you think of this call? Its likely that I'm an underdog, I'm getting odds, but its likely for my tournament life. I'm also calling and not the one pushing.

PokerStars Game #5436311685: Tournament #27448098, $55+$5 Hold'em No Limit - Level IX (300/600) - 2006/07/02 - 22:38:18 (ET)
Table '27448098 1' 9-max Seat #2 is the button
Seat 2: peeenutzzz (1980 in chips)
Seat 6: spartan50 (8635 in chips)
Seat 7: andr3w321 (2885 in chips)
peeenutzzz: posts the ante 50
spartan50: posts the ante 50
andr3w321: posts the ante 50
spartan50: posts small blind 300
andr3w321: posts big blind 600
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to andr3w321 [Jh Kd]
peeenutzzz: raises 1330 to 1930 and is all-in
spartan50: folds
andr3w321: calls 1330
*** FLOP *** [9s 2d As]
*** TURN *** [9s 2d As] [8d]
*** RIVER *** [9s 2d As 8d] [3h]
*** SHOW DOWN ***
andr3w321: shows [Jh Kd] (high card Ace)
peeenutzzz: shows [3c Ac] (two pair, Aces and Threes)
peeenutzzz collected 4310 from pot
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot 4310 | Rake 0
Board [9s 2d As 8d 3h]
Seat 2: peeenutzzz (button) showed [3c Ac] and won (4310) with two pair, Aces and Threes
Seat 6: spartan50 (small blind) folded before Flop
Seat 7: andr3w321 (big blind) showed [Jh Kd] and lost with high card Ace

[swiggidy]

1. You've got odds if you're behind.
2. He could be pushing with anything given the blinds.
3. After ITM play for 1st.
Easy call.

Id be interested to see an ICM calc (I'm too lazy right now). Those don't appear to be as cool as they used to be.

[renostud]

I think he's pushing 100%, meaning that that this is an unbelievably easy call.

[fjuanl]

with his stack size and because its 3 handed, i dont think it would be too uncommon to push with any 2 cards...especially since your the bb. kjs is way ahead of most 2 cards

even if hes pushing with 60% of his hands, your still a 3/2 favorite

[andr3w321]

Thx for the quick replies. I initially questioned my play here.

[Staresy]

Id be interested to see an ICM calc (I'm too lazy right now).

Me too

Those don't appear to be as cool as they used to be.

they should.

[swiggidy]

Id be interested to see an ICM calc (I'm too lazy right now).

Me too

Now I'm procrastinating

Fold:
P: 2980 - 30.6
S: 8285 - 41.4
A: 2235 - 28.1

Call & Win:
P: 0000 - 20.0
S: 8285 - 42.3
A: 5215 - 37.7

Call & Loose:
P: 4310 - 34.9
S: 8285 - 41.7
A: 0905 - 23.4

p is probability of winning:
p * 37.3 + (1-p) * 23.4 >= 28.1
p >= 32.9
Only have to be 33% to break even

equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 39.8793 % 39.65% 00.23% { KdJh }
Hand 2: 60.1207 % 59.89% 00.23% { Ac3c }

39.9% * 37.7 + 60.1% * 23.4 - 28.1 = 10.0
So expectation of calling is +10% of prize pool

I'm not very good with hand ranges, but you have to put him on A9+, 99+ to make it a marginal call

equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 33.2829 % 32.93% 00.35% { KdJh }
Hand 2: 66.7171 % 66.36% 00.35% { 99+, A9s+, A9o+ }
+0.6% of prize pool

[Staresy]

not bad. I would say villians range is even wider.

A2+, JT+, 22+,

[swiggidy]

not bad. I would say villains range is even wider.

A2+, JT+, 22+,

I agree with it being wider. I didn't want to make something up so I went with how tight does he have to be for us to find a fold. I assumed it was obvious that villain is looser than A9+, 99+.

[givememyleg]

easy call