guaranteed MTT idea...

[dstir2]

Theoretically, wouldn't it be smart to devote your playing to MTTs with a guaranteed cash pools, and just playing the ones you suspect to be fishy and that fall short of reaching their cash pool mark? For instance, right now I'm playing a 7+.5 2K GTD at Bodog right now that fell short of reaching it's "goal". If it were a normal payout tourney I'd get 527.45 for winning, but b/c of the fall, I get 550 for winning, an expectancy gain of around 4.28%. I'm sure one could find a site with not-so-decent players, a good blind structure, and a GTD MTT that falls somewhat or even very short of its cash pool. Over the course of a year, for the serious MTT player, wouldn't this add up after a while? any thoughts as to using in mindset in MTT selection? Thanks in advance for the replies.

[Waterdick]

This usually only happens on sites with lower guaranteed tourneys and with small guaranteed prize amounts. The 2k guaranteed you are talking about is very small and for a $7 buy-in to not reach this would mean about 250 players. I would much rather play a 5+1 MTT on PP which I dont think is too hard either and the prize pool will get up to $5500. Also, on stars they just add money to sum smaller stakes tournies. Ive seen them have 1k added and 2k added tourneys.

The only "major guaranteed tournament" that I see that ddoesnt reach its "goal" is the 100k guaranteed on Absolute. (Although I dont play on too many sites so there very well could be others)

When I played on Titan they have MANY Guaranteed tourneys but its junk such as 1k or 1.5k guaranteed. Sometimes these tournies dunt reach this "goal" but I would rather just play for more money in a bigger field on PP.

[chardrian]

What you are talking about is called an overlay.

And yes it is very wise to play in any tourney that is giving an overlay.

[Waterdick]

O ok ty... I thought that was what it was but I wasnt sure. Of course it is wise, but I would rather play in a 500-1000 player $6 tourney on PP than 200-250 player $6 1.5 guaranteed tourney with a small overlay on Titan Poker

[chardrian]

Well, the 200 tourney player tourney (even with the small overlay) might have a smaller prize for first place than the 500 player tourney but it will be a lot easier to take first in the smaller tourney than it will in the bigger one.

I understand not playing in tourneys that you are overrolled for, but if you are playing in $6 tourneys and you find one that is offering an overlay, it just cannot be a bad idea to enter the one with the overlay.

[dstir2]

i totally understand just playing the low buy-ins at PP. i'm just curious as to how much of an overlay could be a difference if one would really keep their eyes peeled. i wonder if anyone knows a site that they've noticed large overlays on? that could be something to find out.

[chardrian]

Bodog probably has the most consistent overlays for any site out there.

[LimpinAintEZ]

char - your new avatar disturbs me....sorry i had to say it first....

[andy-akb]

Any of you guys get in the Titam Million Gauranteed with like $450k+ of overlay?

[chardrian]

char - your new avatar disturbs me....sorry i had to say it first....

once I got my hands on you, you'd be singing the glories of shemales.

[Miffed22001]

i know of a few who playedt the i-poker big one.