Folding AK to a single bet preflop standard?

[ilikeaces86]

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (10 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

UTG ($366.29)
UTG+1 ($980)
UTG+2 ($856.50)
MP1 ($685)
MP2 ($536.50)
MP3 ($990)
CO ($999.75)
Button ($884.80)
Hero ($1923.75)
BB ($272.60)

Preflop: Hero is SB with A, K. Hero posts a blind of $5.
3 folds, MP1 raises to $45, 6 folds.

Final Pot: $60

Villain is a 12/2 over a ton of hands. Anyone like or dislike this?

[UG]

Against a 12/2, OOP, I don't see a problem with it. With a nit like that you pretty much know what he has here. If you pair your AK on the flop you still won't know if you're good or not, especially if you hit your K.

[ilikeaces86]

Against a 12/2, OOP, I don't see a problem with it. With a nit like that you pretty much know what he has here. If you pair your AK on the flop you still won't know if you're good or not, especially if you hit your K.

Pretty much my exact reasoning.

[2_Thumbs_Up]

The chances of him getting AA or KK when you have AK is ~0.5%. So he has you dominated around 1/4 times.

[Pingviini]

standard

[ilikeaces86]

The chances of him getting AA or KK when you have AK is ~0.5%. So he has you dominated around 1/4 times.

The probabilty is much much higher considering the fact he only raises %2 of the time making his range probably. AA KK AK QQ.

[arkana]

standard

*Cough* gutshot

[nutsinho]

The chances of him getting AA or KK when you have AK is ~0.5%. So he has you dominated around 1/4 times.

The probabilty is much much higher considering the fact he only raises %2 of the time making his range probably. AA KK AK QQ.

Right, two thumbs' math is wrong because villain is a 12/2 over a ton of hands...not over a ton of hands where ilikeaces has AK. Thus, the chances of him raising when ilikeaces holds AK is less than 2% and his range is still the same.

[gabe]

The chances of him getting AA or KK when you have AK is ~0.5%. So he has you dominated around 1/4 times.

i like those odds, all in!!

[bigred]

Does your play change if you're on the button?

[ilikeaces86]

Does your play change if you're on the button?

Not against this opp.

[2_Thumbs_Up]

So he has you dominated around 1/4 times.

I talked about the probability of getting dealt AA/KK. So this guy will limp or fold 98% of the time, raise without AA/KK ~1.5% percent of the time and raise with AA/KK ~0.5% of the time. The odds of him having AA or KK here are about 3:1

[bigred]

So he has you dominated around 1/4 times.

I talked about the probability of getting dealt AA/KK. So this guy will limp or fold 98% of the time, raise without AA/KK ~1.5% percent of the time and raise with AA/KK ~0.5% of the time. The odds of him having AA or KK here are about 3:1

What does he have the other times? Is it worth playing OOP?

[2_Thumbs_Up]

Right, two thumbs' math is wrong because villain is a 12/2 over a ton of hands...not over a ton of hands where ilikeaces has AK. Thus, the chances of him raising when ilikeaces holds AK is less than 2% and his range is still the same.

Didn't think of this though.. Damn.

A range of AA, KK and AK would be pretty close to 2%. If we add QQ it's around 2.5% but it's not sure he raises all hands everytime.

So if his range is AA, KK, QQ and AK, there are 3 ways each for him to get dealt AA or KK, 6 ways for QQ and 9 ways for AK. This changes the odds to 1:2.5

[Al4As]

12/2 at 5/10$ !? Wow.

Is it common ? Is it possible to set mine at these stakes and still make money in the long term ? Seems like this guy would be Mr. Transparent.

[ilikeaces86]

12/2 at 5/10$ !? Wow.

Is it common ? Is it possible to set mine at these stakes and still make money in the long term ? Seems like this guy would be Mr. Transparent.

Yes and Yes. People are dumb. I am 13/8 and beat the game at 3.5/100 long term nl1000 full ring. Also I am 16.8/11 at nl600 6max and am a longterm 5/100 winner.

[bigred]

yeah, but you are king of the nits. We can't possibly emulate your godly, nitty ways.

[ilikeaces86]

yeah, but you are king of the nits. We can't possibly emulate your godly, nitty ways.

Well Obv.

[Miffed22001]

yeah, but you are king of the nits. We can't possibly emulate your godly, nitty ways.

Well Obv.

obviously you get dealt AAmore often than we common fish

[AHiltz]

yeah, but you are king of the nits. We can't possibly emulate your godly, nitty ways.

Well Obv.

obviously you get dealt AAmore often than we common fish

Flop sets get laid, I mean paid

[Bmxicle]

yeah this isn't standard, but in this case it is standard. do you see why?

[ilikeaces86]

yeah this isn't standard, but in this case it is standard. do you see why?

Obviously I see why since I folded it. On a side note hows it feel to be a tight little nit like me? O how the mighty have fallen.

[Warpe]

yeah this isn't standard, but in this case it is standard. do you see why?

Obviously I see why since I folded it. On a side note hows it feel to be a tight little nit like me? O how the mighty have fallen.

Says the guy with the negligible variance 6-max stats. You've been a nit for longer than you let on.

[mrhappy333]

Not Hijacking,
this same thing happened to me, This guy raises 2% of the time over 1200 hands.
Then he raised 19x the BB.

I folded then asked him 10x what was worth 19x the BB, but he never even said a word. I think I was a little on tilt after folding, trying to figure out what he had.

UTG, plays super tight poker, I couldn't imagine playing for stacks with my drawing hand. I think I should have at least called, but I figured he had a small/med pair. maybe AK? anyways..... WWYD?
I obv folded.




PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (9 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver Cards)

MP3 ($10.30)
CO ($18.20)
Button ($2.95)
SB ($10.35)
BB ($21.95)
UTG ($9.40)
Hero ($9.80)
MP1 ($4.45)
MP2 ($9)
Preflop: Hero is UTG+1 with , .
UTG raises to $1.9, 8 folds.

Final Pot: $2.05

Results in white below:
No showdown. UTG wins $2.05.

[ilikeaces86]

Not Hijacking,
this same thing happened to me, This guy raises 2% of the time over 1200 hands.
Then he raised 19x the BB.

I folded then asked him 10x what was worth 19x the BB, but he never even said a word. I think I was a little on tilt after folding, trying to figure out what he had.

UTG, plays super tight poker, I couldn't imagine playing for stacks with my drawing hand. I think I should have at least called, but I figured he had a small/med pair. maybe AK? anyways..... WWYD?
I obv folded.




PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (9 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver Cards)

MP3 ($10.30)
CO ($18.20)
Button ($2.95)
SB ($10.35)
BB ($21.95)
UTG ($9.40)
Hero ($9.80)
MP1 ($4.45)
MP2 ($9)
Preflop: Hero is UTG+1 with , .
UTG raises to $1.9, 8 folds.

Final Pot: $2.05

Results in white below:
No showdown. UTG wins $2.05.

[mrhappy333]

er, um, this?


http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...418&highlight=

[Al4As]

Not hijacking at all indeed.

Pretty interesting 10NL hand too.

[bigred]

I'm so balla I got my own wheels. Don't need to hijack no damn plane.