Which of these are preflop push overs? ($6.50)

[taipan168]

Hand 1 - MP2 is a 15/15. Easy fold, right?

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t100 (7 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

Hero (t1285)
Button (t2530)
SB (t590)
BB (t3115)
UTG (t1025)
MP1 (t2895)
MP2 (t2060)

Preflop: Hero is CO with A, Q.
2 folds, MP2 raises to t300, Hero ?????

Hand 2 - Opp is a 44/20. Push over or fold?

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t150 (7 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

Hero (t1285)
BB (t2280)
UTG (t790)
MP1 (t3415)
MP2 (t1250)
CO (t2745)
Button (t1735)

Preflop: Hero is SB with 7, 7.
3 folds, CO raises to t600, 1 fold, Hero ?????

[ripjohngotti]

aq push

77 fold

[Erudito]

Not sure what you mean by 15/15 or 40/20 as you provided for opp. reads. Could you explain? Thanks.

Hand 1.
Tough situation to be in. AQo is not a strong hand to call a raise. I think it will depend more on the reads of the players on the table. Absent of any reads on the table, Folding is the correct decision here.

Hand 2.
I would push all-in. Why? Calling is really bad, I am going to be pot commited if I call the raise, therefore, I might as well push all-in if my intention is to call.
SnGPT won't be able to analyse this type of situation, but, SitNGo Wizard can. I ran this situation in SitNGo Wizard and this was the output:

EqP%	EqF%	Diff%	Edge%	Suggest	Range
12.57	9.79	2.79	0.51	 Push	   100%

EqP% = Equity for Pushing
EqF% = Equity for Folding
Diff% = EV = EqP% - EqF%

According to SitNGo Wizard, this is a +EV = 2.79 %.

[taipan168]

Thanks for your reply Erudito. Well thought through and explained as always.

Do you like Sit N Go Wizard? How do you like it compared to SNGPT?

Not sure what you mean by 15/15 or 40/20 as you provided for opp. reads. Could you explain? Thanks.

15/15 = VP$IP 15% and preflop raise 15%. Basically this guy only voluntarily put chips in the pot preflop 15% of the time and raised every one of those hands. Although the guy had only played about 21 hands (this was a turbo), he was looking like a tight aggressive player.

[Erudito]

Hand 1 Revisited.
I ran the scenario of Hand 1 in SitNGo Wizard and this was the output:

EqP%	 EqF%	 Diff%	 Edge%	Suggest	Range%
11.56	10.34	1.22	  0.77	 None	   6.3 (77+,AQ+,Ajs+)

[Erudito]

SitNGo Wizard is great to analyze situations where the opponents limp or raise. This is a feature which is absent in SnGPT. However, I think that SitNGo Wizard is way off mark in the analysis for ITM situations, that is, 3 players and HU. I don't trust the analysis of SitNGo Wizard in these situations. I would rely more on SnGPT. Besides, when you get in the money, you are home free. It is the stick situations of Bubble or Near the Bubble which one should be focusing on.

The author of SitNGo Wizard is always fixing the bugs and you can download a 30 day free trial with no restriction. It costs a little more than SnGPT, and it provides a quiz trainer for SitNGo situations. I find that drilling in quizzes are very helpful to train your instant reaction for pushing or folding situations. The quizzes are random generated, therefore, you won't get the same quizzes. Practicing on quizzes are a lot cheaper than trying it out on real situations. You can end the test when you feel like it, it provides a summary of how well you did, and it will tag the wrong answers so that you can review it.