Yet another AA hand, what is opp C-Ring with? ($11)

[taipan168]

Sorry to post another hand similar to my other AA hand. Opp is 49/19 over 37 hands, so loose. Don't assume I'm posting this hand because I lost it!

My question is - what range of hands do you think opp is C-Ring with on this flop?

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t50 (5 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

Hero (t1570)
SB (t2925)
BB (t2120)
UTG (t3760)
MP (t3125)

Preflop: Hero is Button with A, A.
UTG calls t50, 1 fold, Hero raises to t200, SB calls t175, 1 fold, UTG calls t150.

Flop: (t650) 6, 8, 8 (3 players)
SB checks, UTG checks, Hero bets t400, SB raises to t800, UTG folds, Hero raises to t1370

[Da GOAT]

you seem pot committed here anyway.

pot is 2420(after your push) and costs 970 to call/push.

Obviously there are more flush draw combos than trip 8s. though his play closely resembles trips but at this level a flush draw cant be discounted.

Im betting without any math that it would be profitable to call here/push.

Putting him on a range isnt a great exercise since it is possible a loose player has any 2 suited face cards or A8 combos.

[taipan168]

you seem pot committed here anyway.

pot is 2420(after your push) and costs 970 to call/push.

Obviously there are more flush draw combos than trip 8s. though his play closely resembles trips but at this level a flush draw cant be discounted.

Im betting without any math that it would be profitable to call here/push.

Putting him on a range isnt a great exercise since it is possible a loose player has any 2 suited face cards or A8 combos.

So do you think my line here is +EV in the long run? If you think that his play resembles trips can you ever get away from AA here?

[ripjohngotti]

Its hard in an 11, what did he have?

[taipan168]

Its hard in an 11, what did he have?

It actually isn't relevant, which is why I didn't post the results. All that matters is what you would do here and why.

[drmcboy]

no reason to eliminiate PPs.

you shouldn't get away here with your stack size.

[Warpe]

He has two hearts.

[Da GOAT]

Its hard in an 11, what did he have?

What did he have you say!!! it doesnt matter what he had muppet.

whats the right play is the question?

[Da GOAT]

So do you think my line here is +EV in the long run? If you think that his play resembles trips can you ever get away from AA here?

I think its proably +EV in the long run with these odds.

if villian had bet out instead of c/r then there is no way i put him on trips coz its a play i have rarely if ever seen opp with trips do.

anyway back to the hand. i think your pot committed and ahead of enough ranges to call/push. can you put it through stove against possible ranges? see if odds match up. dont have access in work.

[taipan168]

I answered my own question, even if opp calls 100% of the time (which at a $11 they don't always), this should be fine. Let me know if you think my range is wrong given he cold called my 4x BB PF raise (gee I wish there was an easier way to enter all the sooooted hands he might have):

Board: 6h 8s 8h 
Dead:  

        	equity (%)  	win (%)	tie (%) 
Hand  1:	67.9582 %  	67.19% 	00.77%      { AdAs }
Hand  2:	32.0418 %  	31.27% 	00.77%      { 88+, 66, AhKh, AhQh, AhJh, AhTh, Ah9h, A8s, Ah7h, A6s, Ah5h, Ah4h, Ah3h, Ah2h, KhQh, KhJh, QhJh, JhTh, 98s, 87s, A8o, A6o }

[Random_Hero]

tough one, its more than likely to be a flush draw but his reraise is wierd if it is a flush draw. possibly trips but a very tough one to call. id probably call dur to whats in the pot and hope it is a flush draw.

what did he have? (im kidding lol)

[TLR]

You played it fine.
The only hands you are behind are 66 and 8x, and people at the 11 love to slowplay them.
His most likely holdings is 2 overcards of hearts or mid PP, both of which you are way ahead