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What should I do here - bubble disaster

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  1. #1

    Default What should I do here - bubble disaster

    20+2 NL Top 40 get paid, 45 left, avg stack 14500

    SB: 9500
    villian(BB): 19000
    UTG: 13000
    UTG+1: 10400
    MP1: 4930
    MP2: 12000
    hero (CO): 20700
    Button: 8320

    SB post 200
    BB post 400

    hero got dealt [Ac, 4c]

    preflop:
    UTG calls 400
    UTG+1 calls 400
    MP1 folds
    MP2 calls 400
    hero calls 400
    Button folds
    SB calls 200
    BB checks

    flop: 2c, 8d, 6c (pot: 2400)

    SB checks
    villian bets 800
    UTG calls 800
    UTG+1 folds
    MP2 folds
    hero raises 1600 to 2400
    SB folds
    Villian calls
    UTG calls

    turn: 8c (pot: 9600)

    villian checks
    UTG bets 1000
    hero calls 1000
    BB raises 2000 to 3000
    UTG folds
    hero raises 3000 to 6000
    BB raises All in

    no read on villian, where should I do here????? should I call here and go broke if he has the full house???? My gut feeling is that he does have one.
  2. #2
    I call and cry myself to sleep.

    But if you see, UTG plays this like a flush draw, leads out, and villain re-raises him AND a caller.

    So I don't think he is afraid of the flush.

    He either has a K or Q high flush or the full house. Full house atleast half the time.
  3. #3
    why not just smooth call if you want to fold now.

    he can easily have trip 8s here.
  4. #4
    thenonsequitur's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Phantaroth
    I call and cry myself to sleep.
  5. #5
    Why not just raise it after UTG+1 on the turn? I'm not laying this hand down. I think that the call preflop is marginal since you have position. Otherwise, I fold this pre.
  6. #6
    I called and villian turned up 66. gg me. another bubble bust.

    In hintsight, I should have folded. Villian led out, then called my 3x raise on the flop; check-raised then re-raised allin on the turn after I showed strength. He was screaming a boat.

    Oh well, tough to lose like this, especially when everything screams i was beat. But then I don't remember any times I've laid down a nut flush in a single pair board before.

    Pre-flop call was totally based on pot odds, number of limpers, and position.

    The reason I didn't raise after UTG on the turn is that, after both villian and UTG called my raise on the flop, I suspect at least one of them is on a flush draw, and another with over pair, and maybe 2-pair. The 8c pair the board, and with UTG leading out, I wanted to just called and evaluate later. With villian checkraised and UTG folded, I eliminated that UTG on the flush, and now villian could have had on the flop: (flush draw, over pair, 2 pair, set, or maybe A8???). I re-raised his checkraise to try to find out more...and his re-raise allin told me he's got (flush, trip, or boat). Flush was unlikely, since I got the nut flush. trip also not as likely, since TPTK called on FLOP would have been brave. So boat was most likely. I should have folded. Oh well...
  7. #7
    bode's Avatar
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    slow motion
    i dont think i could have folded here.
    eeevees are not monies yet...they are like baby monies.

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