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SNGPT says this call is horrible ($16)

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  1. #1

    Default SNGPT says this call is horrible ($16)

    Opp seemed like a good player, started off very tight but became a pushbot as blinds increased. He pushed many hands that was folded to him, a couple of times he folded his SB to my BB (of course those times I had AQ and TT).

    SNGPT says this call is horrible unless opp is pushing more than 73% (22+,A2+,K2+,Q2+,J2+,T4o+,T2s+,95o+,93s+,86o+,84s+ ,75s+,65s). Given that opp would be pushing a very wide range here with the blinds where they are, I would have thought that K8o would be at least 60/40 against most of his pushing range. Why then is this so -EV? We are ITM after all...

    Poker Stars No Limit Holdem Tournament
    Blinds: t300/t600 (Ante: t50)
    3 players
    Converter

    Stack sizes:
    Button: t3490
    SB: t5070
    Hero: t4940

    Pre-flop: (3 players) Hero is BB with K 8
    Button folds, SB raises all-in t5020, Hero calls all-in t4290.
  2. #2
    johnny_fish's Avatar
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    SB should push any 2. If he actually does that than it's a nice call, but you seem to have evidence that he doesn't so fold. I think I'd fold even KJo here, but that may be wrong.

    edit: My SngPt estimates are off, optimal % are 70/30
  3. #3
    personally ITM i like to tighten up a small bit here. AT is minimum call maybe in a vacuum.

    reason being im better than average opp and will take adv of more opportunities than them ie pushing, so i fold here and keep pushing into them.we have a nice usable stack.

    i wouldnt even push 73% if i was SB since i can find better +EV spots later.
    Jman: every time the action is to you, it's an opportunity for you to make the perfect play.
  4. #4
    I dont mind pushing K8o, but I am not calling here


  5. #5
    Don't like the call.
  6. #6
    FlyingSaucy's Avatar
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    I fold here as well and would rather do the open pushing with that hand.

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