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This my 1st FTR post after one year as a lurker. This forum has helped me greatly, and I will introduce myself this weekend.
My answers (which i believe are correct, btw, are, in order:
Q2 A. fold
Q3 B. fold
Q4 D.raise to between 1500 and 2500
Q2 - At the level I play at, I would limp this hand here and see what develops. I would then play very cautiously unless I caught 2 pr or better. i wouldnt commit too much to hitting my pair in a contested pot.
Against 4 pros, however, I'm definitely gonna fold this hand OOP.
Q3 - The pot odds do NOT justify calling here, although the math is too complicated to compute precisely at the table, it is an intuitive fold for me.
We are gonna be paying 1300 to win a 1925 pot (SB25, MP200, BB 1500, and our 200). that is 67 1/2% or about 1 1/2 to 1. If we assume his range includes AA, KK, QQ, that is 18 hands at 20% probability; his range also includes AK & AQ - 36 hands at about a 52% probablility. This converts to a weighted 40% win rate. If we plug in a 10% Harrington bluff factor, we can still only expect to win roughly 50% of the time, so we would need about 2 to 1 to make calling a valid option. Am i right?
Q3. D I'm only 10BB here and at the next raise of the blinds, I'm in deep trouble! It is time to take action and this is an excellent hand and position for what Raymer calls the stop-and-go play. With all limpers and only the BB yet to act, there is a reasonable chance I could win at showdown, but my goal is to take down the 2050 of dead money in the pot an increase my chip stack by 50%. An all-in has a strong chance of being picked off by a strong hand or a big stack sniper with a small or medium pair. I'm gonna raise about 4 1/2 BB or about 1750. My OOP raise has got to be respected, but if it gets called, I'm pushing my remaining 2250 chips in regardless of what flops, representing AA or KK, while my stack is big enough to get even a good hand to fold to that kind of pressire.
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