|
Your sample must be pretty small [namely because of the fact that Att to steal is lower than PFR], so dont hold those numbers with a ton of confidence but you do know the guy is loose. PF is fine, sometimes I like a reraise here but calling sint bad, especially a minraise. The flop is fine, but on the turn thats a pretty small bet, Id make it closer to $2.50. On the river, I dont really know why we are folding here. What about this hand made you think QT? Why wouldnt they have lead turn or at least c/red? Ive got to agree with CJS here, this is going to be a busted FD a lot and sometimes youll even see random worse 1 pair hands. I would expect to be ahead here 50%+ minimum, and we only need to be ahead 33% of the time to make this profitable.
In the second hand, I dont really know why we are folding. I feel like I used to do this a lot because I was just like "OMG 4 to a straight" or backdoor flush or whatever, but those hands dont make a ton of sense. I probably raise PF a decent amount of the time, flop is fine and turn isnt bad either but then on the river what do we pot him on? Is he calling the flop with a gutshot? Maybe 65 or 75 or something like that, but do they call again on the turn? _Some_ of the time, yea, but we are still going to be ahead here enough to make it profitable. You havent seen a one pair hand do it because you keep folding.
|