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pushing opps off split pots

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  1. #1

    Default pushing opps off split pots

    I usually dont do this, but in this case I was pretty certain, that there was very little risk for me, since there was no flush draw and the only hand containing a 6 that I could see calling my preflop raise was 66 or maybe A6 if I am up against a total donkey. So how is this line?

    PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t20 (9 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

    MP3 (t1380)
    CO (t1490)
    Button (t1460)
    SB (t1560)
    BB (t1460)
    UTG (t1500)
    UTG+1 (t1770)
    Hero (t1380)
    MP2 (t1500)

    Preflop: Hero is MP1 with K, K.
    1 fold, UTG+1 calls t20, Hero raises to t120, 2 folds, CO calls t120, 3 folds, UTG+1 calls t100.

    Flop: (t390) 2, A, 4 (3 players)
    UTG+1 checks, Hero checks, CO checks.

    Turn: (t390) 5 (3 players)
    UTG+1 checks, Hero bets t180, CO calls t180, UTG+1 calls t180.

    River: (t930) 3 (3 players)
    UTG+1 checks, Hero bets t1080 (All-In), ...
  2. #2
    Nh. 66 is unlikely.

    Reverse the scenario. Let's say he pushes. Do you call?

    Would you make this same play in a cash game?(Note: It's wrong, I think... but why?)

    Get your own operations graphic here:
    http://operations.talkingapes.com
  3. #3
    In this particular situation I am pretty sure I would call. A hand containing a six is just too unlikely to be around.

    I dont have much clue about cash games. But I think this kind of move is considered wrong, because it just blows up the rake unneccessarily. In a tourney of course there is no rake on each pot.
  4. #4
    Quote Originally Posted by losttrem
    because it just blows up the rake unneccessarily.
    Bingo.

    Consider this, and I'm not saying it's right or wrong...

    How often is opp gonna call you? I would think that they'll call more often than they'll fold by a large margin.

    Theoretically, let's say you make more of a "value bet" here of around 500. Opponent pushes over top. How sick do we feel?

    I'm not entirely certain just checking behind isn't the better play here. I don't know. I wrestle with this question a lot, and I don't know the answer... are we deriving value by knocking "splits" out of the pot, or are we being very -EV when someone calls, and rolls over a 6? How does position affect this?

    Get your own operations graphic here:
    http://operations.talkingapes.com
  5. #5
    you will run into a checked 6 here so rarely that you should push 100% of the time.

    I'm not entirely certain just checking behind isn't the better play here. I don't know. I wrestle with this question a lot, and I don't know the answer... are we deriving value by knocking "splits" out of the pot, or are we being very -EV when someone calls, and rolls over a 6? How does position affect this?
    It's fairly simple - how often does he have a 6?

    Checking has 0 EV.

    Pushing and getting called by a non 6 has o EV

    If we push and get a fold, we win 930

    If we push and get called by a 6, we lose 1080

    I think you can do the math from here. What % of the time do you think he has a 6, what % do you think he'll fold? If he has a 6 more often, it's -EV, if not it will be +EV.

    Position will just change the percentages - in LP he may be more likely to show up with 6x, and if he acts after us on river we'll be less sure he doesn't have the 6.
  6. #6
    My edited HH might get a bit confusing. There are two players besides me stil in the pot. The first one checked the river while the second one is still left to act. So I guess this makes it somewhat riskier. But still I didnt feel like someone with a 6 might stick around. 66/A6 are really the only plausible holdings and 66 might have very well folded on the turn.

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