March 2007 SNG experiment - Hands 76-100 comments

[taipan168]

Please post comments on Hands 76-100 in this thread.

[K2 the ArmA]

hand 95: haha you knew I would comment about this one. I think that If I look at this hand objectively, I'm very on the fence about both of our plays. I think your comments on the hand are exactly why I thought it would work. Not to mention how few times I had raised PF. Oh well, discuss!

[taipan168]

hand 95: haha you knew I would comment about this one. I think that If I look at this hand objectively, I'm very on the fence about both of our plays. I think your comments on the hand are exactly why I thought it would work. Not to mention how few times I had raised PF. Oh well, discuss!

I ran this through SNGPT. Basically calling for me is +EV provided that you're shoving at least 15% of hands (33+,A7o+,A4s+,KTs+). I am certain that in this spot you'll shove this wide if not much wider, making this an easy call.

Although you obviously can't use SNGPT in a game, I had come across a similar situation to this previously and remembered it.

[K2 the ArmA]

Then this is obv a leak of mine, I lean towards folding low pairs against ~10bb stack pushes pf.

[Random_Hero]

Hand 94:
Turns out my read on Paris was totally wrong lol.

Hand 95:
Awesome call Tai, well done

[TLR]

78: Zacu, 44 from MP in this tight table is worth a raise IMHO
80: I don't like A2 a bit, I would fold it, if u are called you are probably dominated
86: A8s is worth a raise from MP
94: 23o, comeon....
95: Tai, I dont like the 55 call with 1/2 the stack, even if K2 can shove ATC

[taipan168]

95: Tai, I dont like the 55 call with 1/2 the stack, even if K2 can shove ATC

If he is shoving ATC I absolutely need to call, according to SNGPT he only needs to be shoving 15% to make this +EV and I'm positive he is shoving wider than this. SNGPT takes stack sizes into account in the calculation.

[taipan168]

76. Random - I would not shove over with KQo in this spot because a) you're up against a tight UTG raiser b) there are 6 players still to act who might wake up with a hand.

77. Sprayed - I would have shoved this given how tight the table has been.

86. Dev - assuming that the players to act will continue to be tight I think shoving is marginally +EV, but given your image I think I would fold this one as 87s plays very well when you can see a flop multiway for a cheap limp but doesn't fare so well in a preflop all-in. I don't think this one is an easy AI. Also, re your comment about SCs faring better than little pairs against big pairs, they are only 3% better (23/77 underdog rather than 20/80 underdog).

87. Dev - this push is definitely -EV from CO-1, I fold this for sure.

88. Dev - as I said in the comments I didn't like the limp with 55. Basically once blinds hit 50/100 I am never ever limping, and on this tight table raising is a better play I think. TLR - I would have just shoved over with AK, you need to maximise your fold equity and you're not folding here. As I said in the comments, I guess if you get it AI preflop with AK then it's OK I suppose.

92. Fim - I would have considered shoving over with A8s against dev's button raise. I guess the number of times you've shoved over in this tourney must have affected your image since at the time we didn't know that you had the goods every time!

94. Paris - there's nothing wrong with folding 32o even folded to on the button!

99. Interesting hand. I would never have guessed it was middle pair vs bottom pair here. If I was fim I would probably have made it 400 to go here; the problem is that fim is pretty much priced in to call if Paris shoves over.

100. Paris - as per my comment you shoved have shoved ATC in this spot before you lose any more FE.

[Random_Hero]

76. Random - I would not shove over with KQo in this spot because a) you're up against a tight UTG raiser b) there are 6 players still to act who might wake up with a hand.

Cheers Tai. Yeah I noticed Paris had been playing pretty tight and I think this is why I didnt shove over. I probably would have (wrongly) shoved if he hadn't raised as I only had around 10BB.

[dev]

86. Dev - assuming that the players to act will continue to be tight I think shoving is marginally +EV, but given your image I think I would fold this one as 87s plays very well when you can see a flop multiway for a cheap limp but doesn't fare so well in a preflop all-in. I don't think this one is an easy AI. Also, re your comment about SCs faring better than little pairs against big pairs, they are only 3% better (23/77 underdog rather than 20/80 underdog).

The only point I can make is that there are no multiway pots here, and I'm too short for that to make any difference. The hand has value, I love the push and really hate a limp.

On the million to one shot that I see a flop for a limp, after the flop, I have to push or fold, and with any draw on the board, my FE is pretty low. I'll take it here or take 5 cards.