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Poker ForumShort-Handed NL Hold'em

max ev on this river?

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  1. #1

    Default max ev on this river?

    villain is 30/10/5, 50% cbet after ~1,000 hands. he seems noobish like he thinks ppl are bluffing too much.
    I think he sees me as tag, capable of moves. he called the turn pretty quick.

    what do you think of how I play up to the river? is a double c/r the best play on the river, or?

    Ultimate Bet
    No Limit Holdem Ring game
    Blinds: $1./$2.
    4 players
    Converter

    Stack sizes:
    UTG: $257.45
    Button: $92.90
    SB: $104.10
    Hero: $200

    Pre-flop: (4 players) Hero is BB with 9 9
    UTG raises to $7, 2 folds, Hero calls.

    Flop: K 6 6 ($15, 2 players)
    Hero checks, UTG checks.

    Turn: 9 ($15, 2 players)
    Hero checks, UTG bets $15, Hero raises to $45, UTG calls.

    River: Q ($105, 2 players)
    Hero...thinks he should've been more ready to play the river.
  2. #2
    very marginal

    sometimes he's calling the turn with a bare A high draw and sometimes he's calling the turn with a hand that will want to put YOU on a missed semi-bluff (someting like JJ/1010 that "won't believe" you're value-betting a K/Q if you shove river).

    I think it's very close but I'd usually shove in this spot after running my time bank almost down to zero.
    when the vpip's are high and the value bets are like razors, who can be safe?
  3. #3
    85 dollars.
  4. #4
    Make a bet.
  5. #5
    ya thanks. i was just frustrated villain insta folded when i pushed the river, so wondered if that was dumb.
    but checking doesn't make much more sense since lots of hands he calls the turn with have SD value so would just check that back.

    smaller bet makes sense though too.
  6. #6
    yea i like a smaller bet rather than a shove, your hand is so flushy so vbet half to 3/4 if you want a call
  7. #7
    bode's Avatar
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    ~$75 is better than a shove here IMO
    eeevees are not monies yet...they are like baby monies.
  8. #8
    Quote Originally Posted by Bode-ist
    ~$75 is better than a shove here IMO
    NOOOO 85 dollars!

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