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Do I call here?

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  1. #1

    Default Do I call here?

    Villain is a 66.7/0 donkey. I have good odds on the turn. I have to call here, right? How do I figure this out? Do I run stove and put him at 66.7%? This guy could have anything, but I figure that he has an A. How was my line so far?

    PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (7 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

    SB ($14.35)
    Hero ($25.75)
    UTG ($7.60)
    MP1 ($5.85)
    MP2 ($6)
    CO ($2.05)
    Button ($5.05)

    Preflop: Hero is BB with 3, 6.
    1 fold, MP1 calls $0.10, 2 folds, Button calls $0.10, SB completes, Hero checks.

    Flop: ($0.40) 5, 3, 4 (4 players)
    SB checks, Hero bets $0.4, MP1 folds, Button calls $0.40, SB folds.

    Turn: ($1.20) A (2 players)
    Hero bets $0.8, Button raises to $4.55, Hero folds.

    Final Pot: $6.55
  2. #2
    villain has Ace or 2 most of the time, making you dead to a 7 or 3. good fold
  3. #3
    Whoops, results. In the MTT forum we don't use this crazy converter thing.
  4. #4
    Ragnar4's Avatar
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    Question: At this limit, wouldn't the shove announce that he doesn't have the 2, and instead has the ace. or just crap?

    Assuming he has the ace. You have 13 outs, 2 3's 3 6's 4 2's and 4 7's. Winning approx 28.6% of the time. You have to call 3.75 to win 10.30 Or approximatly 36% of the pot to win. Therefore: Since the amount of money you have to put into the pot to win is greater than the odds of winning, it's a clear fold.

    Unless of course he doesn't have it. What are the odds your opponent would make a play on you from the button with position on such a dangerous board? If he's a donkey, he probably doesn't understand how to put a play like this on someone.
    The Dunning–Kruger effect is a cognitive bias in which unskilled individuals suffer from illusory superiority, mistakenly rating their ability much higher than average. This bias is attributed to a metacognitive inability of the unskilled to recognize their mistakes
  5. #5
    Quote Originally Posted by Ragnar4
    Question: At this limit, wouldn't the shove announce that he doesn't have the 2, and instead has the ace. or just crap?

    Assuming he has the ace. You have 13 outs, 2 3's 3 6's 4 2's and 4 7's. Winning approx 28.6% of the time. You have to call 3.75 to win 10.30 Or approximatly 36% of the pot to win. Therefore: Since the amount of money you have to put into the pot to win is greater than the odds of winning, it's a clear fold.

    Unless of course he doesn't have it. What are the odds your opponent would make a play on you from the button with position on such a dangerous board? If he's a donkey, he probably doesn't understand how to put a play like this on someone.
    I think that he more than likely has an ace instead of a 2. He's pretty donkalishous so I don't think he has the smarts to make a play. If the pot odds were a little better, I would have called. There's just too many outs and this guy could have anything. I don't think that I can really put this guy on a hand with his numbers.
  6. #6
    Miffed22001's Avatar
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    we needed to think about stack sizes and how we might have seen a cheap river here.
    betting the turn was yukky. we might have got away with a c/c

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