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ICM-wise, Mandatory call?

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  1. #1

    Default ICM-wise, Mandatory call?

    Full Tilt Poker Game #2400974734: $2 + $0.25 Sit & Go (18165959), Table 1 - 100/200 - No Limit Hold'em - 13:03:58 ET - 2007/05/11
    Seat 4: Jimmy Pimps (3,150)
    Seat 6: eugmac (5,850)
    eugmac posts the small blind of 100
    Jimmy Pimps posts the big blind of 200
    The button is in seat #6
    *** HOLE CARDS ***
    Dealt to eugmac [Ah Ts]
    eugmac raises to 500
    Jimmy Pimps raises to 3,150, and is all in

    Basically, I'm sure he's pushing wide here -- he called my all-in before when I pushed over with AQs, and he had A5o. If I've done the ICM calculation right, I only need to have about 43% equity to justify calling, does this sound about right? I'm 55% vs 22+, Ax and any 2 Broadway.

    Note that this is ITM of a 6-seater, so 2 prizes.
  2. #2
    Instacall for me. Basically any ace heads up is a good hand although with opp's stack at 15x BB I might fold the weakest aces (A2-A5). You also need to consider the dead chips in the pot from your raise too.
  3. #3
    FlyingSaucy's Avatar
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    yea instacall, unless he has been playing really tight and hasn't done anything like this, then I'd probably think for a little while and end up calling anyway.
  4. #4
    Another very similar spot. How deep would the stacks need to be to even consider folding a medium A?

    Full Tilt Poker Game #2408174240: $2 + $0.25 Sit & Go (18225261), Table 1 - 60/120 - No Limit Hold'em - 12:17:16 ET - 2007/05/12
    Seat 1: eugmac (7,260)
    Seat 6: pkrpirate1 (1,740)
    eugmac posts the small blind of 60
    pkrpirate1 posts the big blind of 120
    The button is in seat #1
    *** HOLE CARDS ***
    Dealt to eugmac [Ad 9h]
    eugmac raises to 300
    pkrpirate1 raises to 1,740, and is all in
    eugmac calls 1,440
    pkrpirate1 shows [Ac 4s]
    eugmac shows [Ad 9h]
  5. #5
    First hand if he's pushed before w/ weak ace/hand I call the AI

    Second hand....I call the AI and try to end it. You'll still have a 60/40 chip lead if you lose (or around) and his range has to be huge.
    It's not how many pots you win, it's what's in them that counts.

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