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Bottom two, what to do on river? (50NL)

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  1. #1

    Default Bottom two, what to do on river? (50NL)

    Opp is 48/18/2.2 over 80 hands. What to do on the river? How are my flop and turn lines?

    PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (9 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

    MP3 ($128.20)
    CO ($12.70)
    Button ($33.35)
    SB ($27.80)
    Hero ($47.50)
    UTG ($47.75)
    UTG+1 ($28.50)
    MP1 ($12)
    MP2 ($64.50)

    Preflop: Hero is BB with 8, 3.
    4 folds, MP3 calls $0.50, 1 fold, Button calls $0.50, SB completes, Hero checks.

    Flop: ($2) 8, 3, T (4 players)
    SB checks, Hero bets $2.5, MP3 calls $2.50, Button calls $2.50, SB folds.

    Turn: ($9.50) K (3 players)
    Hero bets $9, MP3 folds, Button calls $9.

    River: ($27.50) 6 (2 players)
    Hero sees that Button has about $21 behind and...
  2. #2
    I think im just shoving river. You have to call if he bets and he may call an all in with hands that you beat but check behind if checked to. I think your flop and turn bet really screams at least 2 pair, but his stats dont come off to me as being a very competent player so i wouldnt give him much credit here. It looks like he may have had a T and then picked up the flush draw on the turn, but he really could have anything here.
  3. #3
    Those are large bets with bottom two multi-way and a relatively dry board. I probably bet $1.50 on the flop and ~2/3 pot on the turn. River is tough. Hard to see what you beat that calls a shove. He's a shorty, but is he really felting JT here? If he had the only draw out there, 97, then the str8 got there on the river. I c/c river, even though you're probably beat if he shoves. JsTs/Ts9s are possibilities I guess, but they're not calling a shove, so give them a chance to bluff.

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