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Simple, Really...

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  1. #1
    Sykedupp's Avatar
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    Dec 2004
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    Vancouver, BC, Canada

    Default Simple, Really...

    Call or fold, and, more importantly, why?
    Assume no reads as I am multitabling, $30 freezout, pokerstars.

    PokerStars Game #10360788901: Tournament #51838424, $30+$3 Hold'em No Limit - Level V (75/150) - 2007/06/10 - 02:32:16 (ET)
    Table '51838424 30' 9-max Seat #8 is the button
    Seat 1: The Jackal01 (13720 in chips)
    Seat 2: crabman33 (1160 in chips)
    Seat 3: pippisan (3130 in chips)
    Seat 4: Bln04 (2850 in chips)
    Seat 5: Sykedupp (4697 in chips)
    Seat 6: dzagar33 (5029 in chips)
    Seat 7: touchgold21 (2480 in chips)
    Seat 8: duwinna1 (10555 in chips)
    Seat 9: mikeylm (10435 in chips)
    mikeylm: posts small blind 75
    The Jackal01: posts big blind 150
    *** HOLE CARDS ***
    Dealt to Sykedupp [Ks As]
    crabman33: raises 1010 to 1160 and is all-in
    pippisan: folds
    Bln04: raises 1690 to 2850 and is all-in
    Sykedupp: ?


    My take: easy fold, I have enough chips to just move on and wait for more hands/better situations. But a potential leak in my game is being generally too tight early. Is this really a call?

    -Chris
    Quote Originally Posted by soupie
    That is the beauty of poker, it doesnt matter how they play, you can always devise the perfect defense and counterpunch hard.
  2. #2
    Without a read I think it's a fold. The second all in is saying that they have a very big hand. You have a healthy stack and I don't believe that you need to gamble just yet. Although, if you put each on a range you are about even money here. You need to be getting 2-1 to make this call and I don't believe that you have that.

    Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

    3,643,464,132 games 7.711 secs 472,502,156 games/sec

    Board:
    Dead:

    equity win tie pots won pots tied
    Hand 0: 34.694% 27.83% 06.86% 1013973384 250095748.50 { AsKs }
    Hand 1: 35.394% 29.75% 05.65% 1083851220 205718661.00 { JJ+, AQs+, AQo+ }
    Hand 2: 29.912% 27.32% 02.59% 995416098 94409020.50 { 77+, AJs+, KQs, AJo+, KQo }
  3. #3
    This is a fold, the only possible hand that the second guy could have is AQ that you have crushed... Anything else you are racing at best. You have no chips invested into this pot so why race here?? Your stack is certainly healthy enough that you don't have to. I think this is a clear fold.

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