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Weird first hand with gutshot straight flush draw

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  1. #1

    Default Weird first hand with gutshot straight flush draw

    Do we assume overpair with flush draw here and fold? Is this just a tilting donk? We do have a gutshot str8 flush draw...

    Yes i know wait for bb blahblah

    Hold'em No Limit ($0.50/$1.00) - 2007-07-04 00:37:53
    6-max Seat #4 is the button
    Seat 1: hoss42o ($147.50)
    Seat 2: Laila78 ($123.25)
    Seat 3: Hero ($100.00)
    Seat 4: Villain ($58.35)
    Seat 5: teddybaby ($138.25)
    Seat 6: pjs984 ($112.57)
    ------------------------------
    NEW HAND
    teddybaby: posts the small blind $0.50
    pjs984: posts the big blind $1.00
    Hero: posts the big blind $1.00
    --- DEALING POCKETS
    Hero is dealt [6c,6d]
    hoss42o: calls $1.00
    Laila78: folds
    Hero: checks
    Villain: raises $4.50 to $5.50
    teddybaby: folds
    pjs984: folds
    hoss42o: folds
    Hero: calls $4.50
    --- DEALING FLOP [4d,2d,3d]
    Hero: checks
    Villain: goes all in $52.85
    Hero

    Pokerstoved:

    Chances vs Overpair with no diamond: 51.5%
    Chances vs Overpair with higher diamond: 21%
    Chances vs flush draw only: 57%
    Chances vs made flush: 7%

    Call? My only concern would be if he pushed an over pair anything from 77 to aa with higher than my 6 of diamonds, which i would then be dead to a 5 or 6 and no furthur diamonds, (6 outs). Do you call here?
  2. #2
    Raise preflop and I'd fold the flop because the pot is only 10 bucks.
    It's close though as villain is a shortstack and this could be an overpair with or without a diamond a lot or overcards with a diamond. I think your equity against villains wide range isn't good enough for the 10 bucks.

    Tough spot though, would like to see results later.
  3. #3
    bummmmp
  4. #4
    this isn't your typical hand at all, and i really can't put him on a range since it could be so many things. If you feel like you can't determine if this is +EV or minus EV to call than just fold.

    That being said, i think it's probably slightly +EV to call.
  5. #5
    don't want to superbump this but i want to post some results so ill give it a a day or so, then post results regardless
  6. #6
    where the pokerstove to incl Unpaired overs with a draw too.

    id fold here
    Jman: every time the action is to you, it's an opportunity for you to make the perfect play.

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