How often am I beat here

[AApoker]

I figure most of the time...

Full Tilt Poker Game #2997308236: $25,000 Guarantee (22345431), Table 26 - 20/40 - No Limit Hold'em - 19:15:55 ET - 2007/07/19
Seat 1: Oldmand (2,835)
Seat 2: CARNI2776 (2,660)
Seat 3: number9dream (4,637)
Seat 4: The Ruzzz (2,815)
Seat 5: mich_alumni (3,920)
Seat 6: Twenty_Tabling (3,415)
Seat 7: Buckster316 (2,255)
Seat 8: JamesBon (2,895)
Seat 9: bigjohnq (1,568)
Twenty_Tabling posts the small blind of 20
Buckster316 posts the big blind of 40
The button is in seat #5
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to mich_alumni [Ad Ah]
JamesBon folds
bigjohnq folds
Oldmand calls 40
CARNI2776 raises to 120
number9dream folds
The Ruzzz folds
mich_alumni raises to 420
Twenty_Tabling folds
Buckster316 folds
Oldmand folds
CARNI2776 calls 300
*** FLOP *** [2s Qs Kc]
CARNI2776 checks
mich_alumni bets 650
CARNI2776 calls 650
*** TURN *** [2s Qs Kc] [Tc]
CARNI2776 checks
mich_alumni checks
*** RIVER *** [2s Qs Kc Tc] [9s]
CARNI2776 bets 1,040
mich_alumni ??

[chardrian]

I think u have to fire that turn. AK plays this the same way a lot. As played u can defendably call the river too since u gave him the opportunity to bluff the river (i.e. it is possible - unlikely but possible, that he has some hand like 33-88).

[dstir2]

i don't read his bet on the river as him holding anything more than a pair. from the texture of the flop and his check after the turn, i don't think he'd bet out that much if he had hit anything else.

[johnny_fish]

shove turn, as played call river.