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How often am I beat here

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  1. #1

    Default How often am I beat here

    I figure most of the time...

    Full Tilt Poker Game #2997308236: $25,000 Guarantee (22345431), Table 26 - 20/40 - No Limit Hold'em - 19:15:55 ET - 2007/07/19
    Seat 1: Oldmand (2,835)
    Seat 2: CARNI2776 (2,660)
    Seat 3: number9dream (4,637)
    Seat 4: The Ruzzz (2,815)
    Seat 5: mich_alumni (3,920)
    Seat 6: Twenty_Tabling (3,415)
    Seat 7: Buckster316 (2,255)
    Seat 8: JamesBon (2,895)
    Seat 9: bigjohnq (1,568)
    Twenty_Tabling posts the small blind of 20
    Buckster316 posts the big blind of 40
    The button is in seat #5
    *** HOLE CARDS ***
    Dealt to mich_alumni [Ad Ah]
    JamesBon folds
    bigjohnq folds
    Oldmand calls 40
    CARNI2776 raises to 120
    number9dream folds
    The Ruzzz folds
    mich_alumni raises to 420
    Twenty_Tabling folds
    Buckster316 folds
    Oldmand folds
    CARNI2776 calls 300
    *** FLOP *** [2s Qs Kc]
    CARNI2776 checks
    mich_alumni bets 650
    CARNI2776 calls 650
    *** TURN *** [2s Qs Kc] [Tc]
    CARNI2776 checks
    mich_alumni checks
    *** RIVER *** [2s Qs Kc Tc] [9s]
    CARNI2776 bets 1,040
    mich_alumni ??
  2. #2
    chardrian's Avatar
    Join Date
    Apr 2005
    Posts
    5,435
    I think u have to fire that turn. AK plays this the same way a lot. As played u can defendably call the river too since u gave him the opportunity to bluff the river (i.e. it is possible - unlikely but possible, that he has some hand like 33-88).
  3. #3
    i don't read his bet on the river as him holding anything more than a pair. from the texture of the flop and his check after the turn, i don't think he'd bet out that much if he had hit anything else.
  4. #4
    johnny_fish's Avatar
    Join Date
    Sep 2005
    Posts
    2,103
    Location
    donkaments weeeeeeeeeeee
    shove turn, as played call river.

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