K8o on SB in the bubble ($11)

[CoccoBill]

All 3 seemed decent, extremely tight in the low levels and considerably loosening up after 100/200, the past couple orbits had had at least 1 shove pf per hand. Opp's stats 17/13/2 over 63 hands.

Edit: I just realized how similar this is to the hand topsoyale just posted. I guess in that case the consensus was to either raise or push, with the more loose table here is this a clear fold?

NL Texas Hold'em $11 USD Buy-in Level: 6 Blinds(300/600)
Seat 5 is the button
Total number of players : 4
Seat 5: Button ( 4,075 )
Seat 10: BB ( 5,520 )
Seat 8: Hero ( 5,030 )
Seat 2: UTG ( 5,375 )
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to Hero [ Kd 8s ]
UTG folds
Button folds
Hero?

[taipan168]

I'd shove it. You have an above average hand, BB's stats seem quite tight and you have him almost covered.

Basically this is an +EV shove if BB calls with 19% of hands (55+,A7o+,A3s+,KTo+,K8s+,QTs+) or tighter. Given your stats I can't see him calling with that many hands.

[GatorJH]

Unless I had shoved the previous two hands I would shove this. As Tai mentioned I don't see the BB calling here without a good hand, even if he knows you are stealing.

[TLR]

Without reads I shove it

[CoccoBill]

The BB's stats are a bit misleading, up till 100/200 blinds they were more like 8/5/2. I had indeed been shoving quite liberally, stealing with any 2 every chance I got. With a generic with-no-reads range this would clearly have been +EV, but he had just a couple hands ago called a push from a shorter stack (7500 vs 2000 or so) with A3o.

My standard play here would be to push, but running this in SNGPT gave me a -0.4 EV and indicated a clear fold. This was quite a surprise to me and I really need to take a closer look at my pushes against looser opponents.

[taipan168]

With a generic with-no-reads range this would clearly have been +EV, but he had just a couple hands ago called a push from a shorter stack (7500 vs 2000 or so) with A3o.

That's different. If opp was in the BB with a 7500 stack and got shoved into by a 2000 stack at 300/600 blinds that is an instacall with A3o. I mean, SB is shoving 3x BB here, he can't ever fold A3o, and similarly you can't assume that he'll call you that wide when you have him almost covered.

My standard play here would be to push, but running this in SNGPT gave me a -0.4 EV and indicated a clear fold. This was quite a surprise to me and I really need to take a closer look at my pushes against looser opponents.

If you are getting a -EV result here I think your range for opp is too loose. If you've seen him call pushes from a non-short stack who almost covers him that loose then that's different.