Call/Fold on the bubble $5.50 SNG

[D3scride]

Final table of 45 man SNG
Top 6 pay.

Full Tilt Poker Game #3950692297: $5 + $0.50 Sit & Go (30049829), Table 1 - 300/600 - No Limit Hold'em - 4:35:07 ET - 2007/10/24
Seat 1: babosha (6,995)
Seat 2: babygurl1oo4 (5,230)
Seat 3: Brain ds (27,595)
Seat 5: jsun17 (9,070)
Seat 7: DAZYZZY (3,030)
Seat 8: KSC2-303 (9,725)
Seat 9: token4luck (5,855)
jsun17 posts the small blind of 300
DAZYZZY posts the big blind of 600
The button is in seat #4
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to DAZYZZY [Ks Tc]
KSC2-303 folds
token4luck folds
babosha folds
babygurl1oo4 folds
Brain ds folds
jsun17 raises to 9,070, and is all in
DAZYZZY has 15 seconds left to act


Villain's range is probably something like this, although it may infact be wider I'm not sure.

{ 22+, ATs+, KTs+, QTs+, JTs, A2o+, KTo+, QJo }

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 39.927% 37.80% 02.12% 180599117 10145889.50 { KsTc }
Hand 1: 60.073% 57.95% 02.12% 276841920 10145889.50 { 22+, ATs+, KTs+, QTs+, JTs, A2o+, KTo+, QJo }

Not quite 3/2 dog against his range, getting ~3/2 pot odds so it's pretty marginal cEV wise.

However, if I call and lose no money!. I have 5 BB at this point.

Call or fold and why

[badgers]

Call because he's probs wider than that and the bubble in 45 man is far less extreme. You have ~0 FE if you fold anyway so you need to take your chance here.

[ChrisTheFish]

Call because villians range is ATC.

[CoccoBill]

Actually you have 4BB left, that 1BB is already in the pot, not yours. You have "ok" cards and you're desperate, if SB knows what he's doing he's shoving ATC. Call.

[DetroitHusling101]

I call. I agree SB is probally pushing ATC as i would be pushing ATC here from the SB with about 15BBs and the BB having under 5BBs.

[DetroitHusling101]

Hand 0: 40.261% 39.02% 01.24% 9820780404 313284444.00 { random }
Hand 1: 59.739% 58.49% 01.24% 14723519508 313284444.00 { KTo }


Is more like it IMO

[D3scride]

Thanks for the responses. I agree with that he is pushing almost ATC in this spot so I did infact call.

I was more concerned about whether this is going to be +$eV.