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Bet again vs check behind turn w/marginal hands
I think I miss alot of value by checking behind marginal hands on the turn after my flop bet gets called. Usually my plan is to control the pot size, induce bluffs and to get a river call from hands that fold the turn, and because I want to avoid getting check/raised off my hand. Most villains probably won't c/c flop and c/r turns light a whole lot though, so I should have mostly easy folds in those spots, right?
General thoughts on flop textures/turn cards that are good for betting at again with hands like TPWK, middle pairs, AK high etc would be much appreciated.
I realize there's a big "it depends"-factor, so I've also dug out some example hands from my PT database. Since they aren't really fresh I don't remember specific reads/history/my image, so just assume stats are datamined. Let's also assume that Hero has been playing around 18/16 and has been relatively aggressive postflop though not insane.
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Hand 1, villain is 25/2, AF by street: 1/3/4.5
400NL
Button ($390)
SB ($320.37)
BB ($244.50)
UTG ($955.38)
Hero ($438)
CO ($394)
Preflop: Hero is MP with , .
UTG calls $4, Hero raises to $18, 4 folds, UTG calls $14.
Flop: ($42) , , (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $27, UTG calls $27.
Turn: ($96) (2 players)
UTG checks, ??
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Hand 2: villain is 30/10, AF: 0.5/1.5/3
600NL
SB ($568.90)
BB ($1)
Hero ($597)
MP ($809)
Button ($976)
Preflop: Hero is UTG with , .
Hero raises to $21, 2 folds, SB calls $18, 1 fold.
Flop: ($48) , , (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $37, SB calls $37.
Turn: ($122) (2 players)
SB checks, ???
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Hand 3, villain is 63/14, AF: 1/3.5/9
400NL
Hero ($441.90)
SB ($582.00)
BB ($394.00)
UTG ($177.00)
UTG+1 ($216.07)
Preflop: Hero is on the Button with K T
1 fold, UTG+1 calls 4.00, Hero raises to 18.00, 2 folds, UTG+1 calls 14.00.
Flop (42.00) Q 5 K
UTG+1 checks, Hero bets 29.00, UTG+1 calls 29.00.
Turn (100.00) 3
UTG+1 checks,
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Hand 4: villain is 31/12, AF: 1.5/1.5/2.5
600NL
Button ($612.00)
SB ($327.31)
BB ($448.94)
UTG ($682.15)
Hero ($642.10)
CO ($712.65)
Preflop: Hero is UTG+1 with 7 7
1 fold, Hero raises to 21.00, 3 folds, BB calls 15.00.
Flop (45.00) 6 A 2
BB checks, Hero bets 35.00, BB calls 35.00.
Turn (115.00) K
BB checks,
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Humm, I guess I should have used tougher villains for some hands. No matter, good for discussion, and obv feel free to quantify thoughts with "if the villain is.....".
Big post calls for a big thanks in advance!
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