i'm going to be stubborn on this one, because imo i had about as good of a read as u need to call here. i've played a lot on tables w/ villain, prob around 10k hands.

we usually stay out of big pots vs each other, but i know him enough to say he does not insta call the flop with a flush or set, at least while multitabling like he was. maybe with the nuts but still doubt he insta calls that...timing was important imo.

and he is unlikely to raise the river with less than those hands because of what he knows about me. 8x/Tx bluffing makes sense, and maybe 86 pot controlling the flop, but 25% is enough odds to call i think.

also, looking back i like checking the river, maybe more than betting, vs him.