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55 Close to bubble (6.50)

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  1. #1

    Default 55 Close to bubble (6.50)

    Limper has been limping a lot of garbage during high blinds. Common 6.50 donk. A good assumption would be i have no fold equity right? Given that should i just fold and wait for a better spot since it's pretty likely BB will be calling too?
    PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t400 (5 handed) Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

    Button (t2230)
    Hero (t1580)
    BB (t4445)
    UTG (t4765)
    MP (t480)

    Preflop: Hero is SB with 5, 5.
    UTG calls t400, 2 folds, Hero raises to t1555,
  2. #2
    Putting this through WIZ this doesn't seem to be a good push given the UTG limper. Even if he's limping wide , because we have to assume he's calling with everything he limps. The factor that made me push not fold was my unfavorable position for the rest of the bubble (2 big stacks in blinds when on Button and big stack in BB when im in SB , and of course only having 3 BB and having a decent hand)
  3. #3
    Without running through SNG Wiz, this seems fine to me because a) he may fold some of the time b) if called, you're flipping more often than you're dominated and you have odds to flip here with the dead chips in the pot and c) there's a chance he calls you with hands you're ahead of (22-44, A2-A5).

    Plus you're pretty shortstacked and I agree with you that the stack size setup is bad for you with the two big stacks in the blinds when you're on the button/SB.
  4. #4
    I know it doesn't fit perfectly here, but had UTG open pushed (which would be the same result if you push and he calls) with the following range - 22+,A2+,K2+,Q2s+,Q6o+,J7s+,J9o+,T8s+,98s then this is a close fold.

    However, as Tai noted there is a chance that he could fold which probably pushes this much closer to a +ev push.

    Net net, I think if you were down to 4 people I could see a fold here based on MP's ultra short stack. but with it being 5 people I don't think you can pass up a close edge like this.
    Poker is easy, it's winning at poker that's hard.
  5. #5
    I wouldn't say you have no fold equity but you are getting called a lot here. Like taipan said, its going to be a coinflip almost every time. With your stack size I think you have to go for it

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