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AK Resteal on bubble (6.50)

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  1. #1

    Default AK Resteal on bubble (6.50)

    ????
    PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t400 (4 handed) Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

    Button (t3595)
    SB (t4340)
    Hero (t3970)
    UTG (t1595)

    Preflop: Hero is BB with K, A.
    2 folds, SB raises to t1600, [color=#CC3333]Hero ??
  2. #2
    It all depends on whether you think there is any chance he will fold if you shove over. You do know that if he had open shoved you would have to cry and fold, don't you?

    If you shove over, he will need to call 2370 to see a pot of (100+200+400+1400+3545) = 5645 so he's getting 2.4 to 1 on the call. That said, if he calls and loses he's pretty much dead, so in a game I think I would shove over because even if there's a 5-10% chance that he folds, this becomes +EV.
  3. #3
    Is this even a question? If you ever dont push here then you are playing much too passive and wont be able to win $ long term.
  4. #4
    Quote Originally Posted by taipan168
    It all depends on whether you think there is any chance he will fold if you shove over. You do know that if he had open shoved you would have to cry and fold, don't you?

    If you shove over, he will need to call 2370 to see a pot of (100+200+400+1400+3545) = 5645 so he's getting 2.4 to 1 on the call. That said, if he calls and loses he's pretty much dead, so in a game I think I would shove over because even if there's a 5-10% chance that he folds, this becomes +EV.
    I would have folded to a shove given the 3bb stack about to hit the blinds. I'd call there with probally JJ+.
    I didn't "know" it was a fold to a push though until putting it through SNGEGT.
    Glad this hand came up though , since it's given me a chance to see what i can call with here when theres a 3bb stack around and the other 3 are close to even on the bubble. If it was AKs i could have called a shove which i might have folded.
    I did push over because even though he was getting good odds he might fold some hands since like you said he's dead if he loses.
  5. #5
    Quote Originally Posted by DetroitHusling101
    I would have folded to a shove given the 3bb stack about to hit the blinds. I'd call there with probally JJ+.
    Depends how wide you think he is shoving. I'd snap call with JJ, think about it and call with TT, think about it for a long time and probably call with 99 and most likely fold everything else. You're right that AKs is a call but AKo is a fold though.

    Quote Originally Posted by KillThatInfidel
    Is this even a question? If you ever dont push here then you are playing much too passive and wont be able to win $ long term.
    Although I would push in a game, it isn't that straight forward. This is the bubble and opp has Hero covered. As I said, if SB had shoved then Hero would have to fold.
  6. #6
    If you ever dont push here then you are playing much too passive and wont be able to win $ long term.
    I dont think this is true at low BI. Stack sizes have something to do with it as well. Some percentage of my bubble play has to do with letting opps make dumb moves and staying out of the way until I have a better opportunity. This particular play is read-dependent, IMO. Does he seem to know where the fold button is?
  7. #7
    OK, unless this guy is a complete moron, he will fold here a decent amount of the time, as well as the times he will make the call with AJ AQ A10 giving you a great chance to dominate the rest of the sng. I just dont think there is anyway anyone could fold profitably here.
    AUTO SLIDE
  8. #8
    Quote Originally Posted by KillThatInfidel
    OK, unless this guy is a complete moron, he will fold here a decent amount of the time, as well as the times he will make the call with AJ AQ A10 giving you a great chance to dominate the rest of the sng. I just dont think there is anyway anyone could fold profitably here.
    AUTO SLIDE
    I don't disagree with the conclusion, but it really is not that straightforward. Sure, he may call with hands you dominate but when he calls with a pocket pair (not just AA or KK) it is a disaster from an equity perspective. Plus it is not always guaranteed that he will fold because of the pot odds he is getting. Again, not saying that the answer is wrong but it is not a no-brainer hand to me because of bubble considerations.

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