$16 - two bubble hands

[mattiesmat]

Hping is 14/10 over 212 hands.
AchimF is 24/13 over 344 hands.
Italia4444 is 18/10 over 169 hands.

-- Hand 1 --
Shove/fold?
Do you think we have any/enough Fold Equity?
If we shove and SB folds, BB has to call 1220 for a pot of 200+900+1220=2320.
Also if BB folds he will have 1220-350=870 chips left.

Poker Stars $15 $1 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t300/t600 Blinds - 4 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

Hping (CO): t3230
Hero (BTN): t2495
AchimF (SB): t5905
Italia4444 (BB): t1870

Pre Flop: Hero is BTN with 5 Q
Hiping folds, Hero ??


-- Hand 2 --
Shove or fold?
Do we have enough FE?
SNG wiz says it is a fold, but if we do, we hit the blinds and we have just 1995-650=1345 chips left.
If they all fold we have 1995+1100=3095.
If someone calls and we win we have 1100+5000=6100ish.
Our hand however is not great, but it does ok against their calling ranges.
Also the small stacks will probably not call very well.

Poker Stars $15 $1 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t300/t600 Blinds - 4 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

Hping (BB): t3180
Hero (CO): t2445
AchimF (BTN): t5555
Italia4444 (SB): t2320

Pre Flop: Hero is CO with 7 9
Hero ??

Thoughts and comments very welcome

[Roco415]

1st hand-

i would definitely shove here, but i tend to be ultra aggressive on bubble...i would figure the small stacks would try to avoid bubble elimination and the big stack doesnt wanna double you up


2nd hand-

easy fold you have to go through too many people...

[taipan168]

I ran the Hand 1 in SNGPT and if SB calls with 44+,A7+,KJ+ and BB calls with 22+,A2+,K8+,QT+,JT this is +0.9% EV. I don't think that BB will call super wide here even though he is getting good pot odds (something like 2:1). SB won't call wide here either since he's risking half his stack.

In a game I shove Hand 2 since it is bad for you to eat the blinds, but honestly I would rather shove Hand 1 then you're either out or have a big enough stack not to have to shove Hand 2.