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zook's 30 days of poker

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  1. #1

    Default zook's 30 days of poker

    My first op thread. I just looked at the calendar and saw that I have 32 possible days to play poker between now and when I leave Jan. 24th for 2 months of overseas travel without poker. I thought an op thread might help motivate me.

    Background: I played sng's for a couple of months, then full-ring for about a year before switching to 6max on May 1st. I've played ~90k hands of 6max, limits from 1/2 to 10/20, with the majority of hands at 2/4 and 3/6. Currently I'm playing 4-6 tables of 2/4-->5/10, depending on what tables look good. I play at Full Tilt and datamine a lot, so basically I open up 16 tables (a few from 2/4, a few from 3/6 and a few from 5/10) and let the HUD stats come up. Then I use FTBuddies to search for fish and only sit at tables with at least one easily exploitable player, preferably to my right. I do think I have an edge on most 2/4 players, but the regs at 3/6 and 5/10 are tough and I think I'm neutral EV at best against most of them. Recently the 5/10 games at Full Tilt have been packed with regs and I have trouble finding more than one good table per session. I hope that changes, but the money's good at 2/4 and 3/6 too.

    Goals:

    1. Play the next 12 days before I leave for a week in Mexico on the 24th.
    2. Clear the $850 Iron Man year-end bonus I'll have coming from Full Tilt in January. This could be pretty tough, as I estimate it will take close to 20k hands at my limits and I'll only have 20 possible days to play while planning three trips and moving out of my house. Still, I really hate leaving free money on the table.
    3. Play 30 days between now and Jan. 24th. That will be pretty tough too, since I'll probably ski a couple of days and will be trying to move and sell my car, but I'll give it a shot.
    4. Play well.
    5. Post hands and thoughts here from every day I play.
  2. #2
    Running good or bad?

    These are my stats from this month so far. Pretty happy about the # of hands, considering I defended my thesis on Monday. Obviously my winrate is really high so far and I'm winning a ton at showdown. But I still feel like I'm running bad b/c I've been getting killed with AA-QQ



    Poker is weird.
  3. #3
    Good: Played 1.1k hands. Found some good 5/10 tables. Felt like I played decently.
    Bad: Was down $6k at one point.
    Slightly Better: Ended the session down $4k.



    Only posting hands with interesting or difficult decisions. No bad beats or obvious coolers.

    1. No real reads on villain, stats are fishy (37/16/2, 30% WTSD, 800 hands).

    Full Tilt Poker - No Limit Holdem Ring game - Blinds: $5/$10 - 5 players - Converter

    Stack sizes:
    UTG: $185
    CO: $1242
    Button: $501.75
    Hero: $990
    BB: $1278

    Pre-flop: (5 players) Hero is SB with J A
    3 folds, Hero raises to $30, BB calls.

    Flop: 5 T A ($60, 2 players)
    Hero bets $45, BB calls.

    Turn: 8 ($150, 2 players)
    Hero bets $110, BB raises to $240, Hero...

    2. Villain is a very good, aggro regular. Don't have any notes about how he might view me. I haven't seen him overbet like this, but I think he's capable of doing it with top pair hands.

    Full Tilt Poker - No Limit Holdem Ring game - Blinds: $5/$10 - 5 players - Converter

    Stack sizes:
    UTG: $2599
    CO: $995
    Button: $1271.85
    SB: $511.90
    Hero: $1055

    Pre-flop: (5 players) Hero is BB with 9 9
    2 folds, Button raises to $35, SB folds, Hero calls.

    Flop: K 2 6 ($75, 2 players)
    Hero checks, Button bets $55, Hero calls.

    Turn: 6 ($185, 2 players)
    Hero checks, Button bets $160, Hero calls.

    River: 5 ($505, 2 players)
    Hero checks, Button is all-in $1021.85, Hero ???

    3. Villain is an aggro regular, my notes say that he might think I'm passive with good hands.

    Full Tilt Poker - No Limit Holdem Ring game - Blinds: $5/$10 - 6 players - Converter

    Stack sizes:
    UTG: $1103.75
    UTG+1: $1257.85
    CO: $1357.50
    Hero: $965
    SB: $175
    BB: $1200

    Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is Button with J T
    2 folds, CO raises to $35, Hero calls, 2 folds.

    Flop: 3 6 4 ($85, 2 players)
    CO bets $60, Hero calls.

    Turn: 8 ($205, 2 players)
    CO checks, Hero bets $170, CO calls.

    River: 2 ($545, 2 players)
    CO bets $320, Hero raises all-in $700

    4. Villain is a bit of a station, but he hasn't shown much down recently. He stacked me a few orbits earlier with KK vs. my QQ in a bvb. Stats are 24/17/2/35% (WTSD) over 1.5k hands.

    Full Tilt Poker - No Limit Holdem Ring game - Blinds: $5/$10 - 5 players - Converter

    Stack sizes:
    Hero: $1000
    CO: $2724
    Button: $995
    SB: $1005
    BB: $2456

    Pre-flop: (5 players) Hero is UTG with K K
    Hero raises to $35, 3 folds, BB calls.

    Flop: 3 K 4 ($75, 2 players)
    BB checks, Hero bets $65, BB calls.

    Turn: 6 ($205, 2 players)
    BB checks, Hero bets $200, BB calls.

    River: J ($605, 2 players)
    BB checks, Hero ???

    5. Villain is a tagg that 3bets a lot.

    Full Tilt Poker - No Limit Holdem Ring game - Blinds: $5/$10 - 6 players - Converter

    Stack sizes:
    UTG: $985
    UTG+1: $985
    CO: $3163
    Hero: $1087
    SB: $2958
    BB: $1232

    Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is Button with 6 7
    3 folds, Hero raises to $35, SB folds, BB raises to $125, Hero calls.

    Flop: 2 8 5 ($255, 2 players)
    BB bets $165, Hero raises all-in $962

    6. This hand was interesting, because I played it pretty strangely. UTG is a super fish, 70/30 super laggro pre, calling station with any piece post-flop. I flat-called pre in hopes of a) getting a squeeze and flat call from utg fish, b) getting a limp/rr from utg fish or c) just keeping utg fish in the hand if he had something terrible. utg+1 is a decent regular and I knew his hand would be face up if an ace hit the flop b/c he knows how big a station utg is. River is pretty bad for me, but I still thought long and hard about calling...

    Full Tilt Poker - No Limit Holdem Ring game - Blinds: $5/$10 - 6 players - Converter

    Stack sizes:
    UTG: $559
    UTG+1: $965
    Hero: $1310
    Button: $534
    SB: $1922
    BB: $1000

    Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is CO with K K
    UTG calls, UTG+1 raises to $45, Hero calls, 3 folds, UTG calls.

    Flop: A J 7 ($150, 3 players)
    UTG checks, UTG+1 checks, Hero bets $100, UTG calls, UTG+1 folds.

    Turn: T ($350, 2 players)
    UTG checks, Hero checks.

    River: J ($350, 2 players)
    UTG is all-in $414, Hero ???


    I'll post results and my thought processes on these a little later. All comments are welcome.
  4. #4
    hand 1: this is a very, very clear fold to me.

    hand 2: i would 3bet this close to 85% vs a button raiser but w/e. as played id just muck turn and move on.

    hand 3: ur call preflop is almost surely -ev. the rest of the hand i would never play in a million years like this, so i cant give u a good opinion. to me, it seems v bad/spewy, but it might not be, i just have such a shitty image...

    hand 4: id bet/fold 275. 365 if he is a 2nd level thinker. shove if he is a third.

    hand 5: very std. calling is of course okay also.

    hand 6: i would generally check this flop for pot control but betting is ok i guess. as played i muck river.
    I got more flava than fruitstripe gum
  5. #5
    Hand 2 I normally lead turn, is this bad? I tend to do it to balance out my draws and 6's.

    what i cant figure out is in the first stats u posted in 1knl how its possible that you are down with that W$WSF and W$@SD% !!!!
    Check out the new blog!!!
  6. #6
    1 : I'd fold and give him credit for a nice bluff if he was effing with you

    2 : I think with only the knowledge that villain is very aggro and a hand-reader, I'd be inclined to call this very often. Either way it'll be fun to use the results to make things funky between you in the future.

    3 : this is very sick but it's hard to say without seeing the action at the table villain has a decent overpair some of the time but I'm not sure he can call with it all that easily

    4 : if villain checkraises a flush he plays goot. I'd either shove or bet close to pot

    5 : standard

    6 : I see why you want to call but I think it's a fold. Doubt he plays Ax this way but Jx, KQ, 89,... all are pretty clearly in his range.
    when the vpip's are high and the value bets are like razors, who can be safe?
  7. #7
    1. I pushed and he showed QdTd. Yeah, this was terrible, he's almost never bluffing here.

    2. I folded river. If I thought his range was polarized I might have called, but I think he's capable of pushing AK/KQ here, which really widens what I'm behind. sauce, I think what to do with 99 pre-flop in this spot is an interesting question. Against a 35-40% button stealer, 99 is about a 65-35 favorite. If he calls 3-bets loosely, 99 is a slight favorite over his calling range, but if he calls them tightly, it's a slight dog. So that seems to be the crux of whether it's profitable to 3bet for value here. What else should we consider? How aggro he is post-flop (i.e. likely to fire 3 barrels)? I don't hate this hand in retrospect considering I didn't have a read as to how frequently he double or triple barrels. Sometimes I c/r this flop smallish.

    3. Pre-flop call might be -ev, especially if I play it like this Villain called with T5s. Genitruc, I think he can definitely fold an overpair here, the question is whether he bets the river this big with one?

    4. I shoved for value, villain had As6s. Yuck. Still thinking about your level comments sauce...

    5. Yeah, standard, just showing the noobs if any are reading. A better hand to show would be doing this with 66 or 77. Villain snapped with 85s.

    6. I timed down and decided the reason I played the hand the way I did was to get this fish in the hand, so dammit if I was folding. He showed 8s2s. Had to post one winner

    @ISF: I agree those 1knl stats are weird. I lost AA twice all-in for stacks pre, but so what. I guess I was winning small pots and losing big ones.

    Hoping to play better today...
  8. #8
    Had a nice big cup of coffee before I started my session today and played great poker. I don't think it was a coincidence.



    No super tough decisions this session, funny it always seems to be that way when you're playing well and winning. A few hands anyway...

    1. This seemed like a set or a bluff, with a bluff being much more likely.

    Full Tilt Poker - No Limit Holdem Ring game - Blinds: $2/$4 - 6 players - Converter

    Stack sizes:
    UTG: $721.40
    UTG+1: $406
    CO: $653.70
    Hero: $1504.20
    SB: $416.30
    BB: $347.60

    Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is Button with 4 4
    3 folds, Hero raises to $14, SB folds, BB calls.

    Flop: 2 6 8 ($30, 2 players)
    BB checks, Hero bets $22, BB calls.

    Turn: 3 ($74, 2 players)
    BB checks, Hero checks.

    River: 2 ($74, 2 players)
    BB bets $74, Hero calls.

    Results in white:
    Final pot: $222
    Hero showed 4s 4h
    BB showed Qd Kd


    2. Don't like how I played this one, villain is loose passive pre and post, something like 40/8/1.5 over a lot of hands. But he doesn't seem horrendous, just moderately bad. He likes to float and bet scare cards.

    Full Tilt Poker - No Limit Holdem Ring game - Blinds: $5/$10 - 6 players - Converter

    Stack sizes:
    Hero: $995
    UTG+1: $1183
    CO: $2585.45
    Button: $183.75
    SB: $1162
    BB: $1157

    Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is UTG with J J
    Hero raises to $30, UTG+1 folds, CO calls, 3 folds.

    Flop: T 8 9 ($75, 2 players)
    Hero bets $70, CO calls.

    Turn: 5 ($215, 2 players)
    Hero checks, CO bets $110, Hero calls.

    River: 7 ($435, 2 players)
    Hero bets $250

    3. Another obvious bluffing line from a bad player.

    Full Tilt Poker - No Limit Holdem Ring game - Blinds: $2/$4 - 6 players - Converter

    Stack sizes:
    UTG: $231.80
    UTG+1: $400
    CO: $500.70
    Hero: $493
    SB: $427
    BB: $400

    Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is Button with 9 7
    UTG calls, 2 folds, Hero raises to $18, SB calls, BB folds, UTG calls.

    Flop: 9 6 5 ($58, 3 players)
    SB checks, UTG checks, Hero bets $44, SB raises to $88, UTG folds, Hero calls.

    Turn: 5 ($234, 2 players)
    SB checks, Hero checks.

    River: T ($234, 2 players)
    SB bets $140, Hero calls.

    Results:
    Final pot: $514
    Hero showed 9s 7s
    SB showed Qc Jc


    4. This guy 3bets me a lot and once 5bet pushed A6s over my small 4bet, so this was a snap call in a blind v blind spot. Still I was surprised to be so far ahead.

    Full Tilt Poker - No Limit Holdem Ring game - Blinds: $5/$10 - 6 players - Converter

    Stack sizes:
    UTG: $525
    UTG+1: $1317
    CO: $1025
    Button: $995
    Hero: $2190.75
    BB: $1022

    Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is SB with T T
    4 folds, Hero raises to $30, BB raises to $90, Hero raises to $255, BB raises all-in $1022, Hero calls.

    Flop: 6 J 9 ($2044, 1 player + 1 all-in - Main pot: $2044)


    Turn: 4 ($2044, 1 player + 1 all-in - Main pot: $2044)


    River: K ($2044, 1 player + 1 all-in - Main pot: $2044)


    Results:
    Final pot: $2044
    Hero showed Tc Ts
    BB showed Ac 9d

    Tomorrow I hope I break out of the sine wave that has been this month!
  9. #9
    Quote Originally Posted by zook
    Tomorrow I hope I break out of the sine wave that has been this month!
    straight to the top baby
    when the vpip's are high and the value bets are like razors, who can be safe?
  10. #10
    Quote Originally Posted by zook
    2. Don't like how I played this one, villain is loose passive pre and post, something like 40/8/1.5 over a lot of hands. But he doesn't seem horrendous, just moderately bad. He likes to float and bet scare cards.

    Full Tilt Poker - No Limit Holdem Ring game - Blinds: $5/$10 - 6 players - Converter

    Stack sizes:
    Hero: $995
    UTG+1: $1183
    CO: $2585.45
    Button: $183.75
    SB: $1162
    BB: $1157

    Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is UTG with J J
    Hero raises to $30, UTG+1 folds, CO calls, 3 folds.

    Flop: T 8 9 ($75, 2 players)
    Hero bets $70, CO calls.

    Turn: 5 ($215, 2 players)
    Hero checks, CO bets $110, Hero calls.

    River: 7 ($435, 2 players)
    Hero bets $250
    Seems pretty ok to me. Doubt he'd be the type to bluff shove you.
  11. #11
    Quote Originally Posted by Irisheyes
    Seems pretty ok to me. Doubt he'd be the type to bluff shove you.
    I agree. I'm just not sure there are any worse hands that call on the river, so why not c/c.
  12. #12
    I played bad today and was stuck $800+ but managed to claw back to positive so I'm happy.



    A few hands...

    1. This guy is a tagg regular, something like 18/14/3 over a lot of hands. We don't have much history besides a lot of pre-flop 3-betting. I thought he was good enough to c/r a lot of his range this deep, so I decided to play it like I would QQ+ and bet turn if checked to. Tough to get two streets of value from worse after the A hits the turn, so I decided to wait for the river.

    Full Tilt Poker - No Limit Holdem Ring game - Blinds: $2/$4 - 6 players - Converter

    Stack sizes:
    UTG: $394
    UTG+1: $89.40
    CO: $400
    Button: $364.20
    SB: $813.10
    Hero: $747.25

    Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is BB with K A
    4 folds, SB raises to $12, Hero raises to $40, SB calls.

    Flop: T 2 4 ($80, 2 players)
    SB checks, Hero bets $50, SB raises to $140, Hero calls.

    Turn: A ($360, 2 players)
    SB checks, Hero checks.

    River: 8 ($360, 2 players)
    SB checks, Hero bets $200

    2. Played HU with a station for awhile after a table broke down and he pwned me. Probably should have played every street differently.

    Full Tilt Poker - No Limit Holdem Ring game - Blinds: $3/$6 - 2 players - Converter

    Stack sizes:
    Hero: $620.50
    BB: $1522.25

    Pre-flop: (2 players) Hero is SB with 8 9
    Hero raises to $18, BB raises to $58, Hero calls.

    Flop: K 4 A ($116, 2 players)
    BB bets $30, Hero raises to $99, BB calls.

    Turn: 5 ($314, 2 players)
    BB checks, Hero checks.

    River: Q ($314, 2 players)
    BB checks, Hero checks.

    Results:
    Final pot: $314
    BB showed 8d 8h
    Hero showed 8s 9s

    3. Same villain as in 2 and I had been playing really straightforwardly so I thought this was a good spot for a 3 barrel. Guess not.

    Full Tilt Poker - No Limit Holdem Ring game - Blinds: $3/$6 - 3 players - Converter

    Stack sizes:
    Button: $702
    SB: $1575.75
    Hero: $600

    Pre-flop: (3 players) Hero is BB with 6 7
    Button folds, SB calls, Hero raises to $18, SB calls.

    Flop: 8 J 9 ($36, 2 players)
    SB checks, Hero bets $30, SB calls.

    Turn: A ($96, 2 players)
    SB checks, Hero bets $75, SB calls.

    River: 3 ($246, 2 players)
    SB checks, Hero bets $150, SB raises all-in $1452.75, Hero folds.

    4. Almost too embarrassed to post this one... villain was 60/4/3, so I figured he's a huge donk that bets way too much post-flop. HUD read for the loss... and with my favorite hand, THREE PAIR.

    Full Tilt Poker - No Limit Holdem Ring game - Blinds: $3/$6 - 6 players - Converter

    Stack sizes:
    UTG: $657
    UTG+1: $933.15
    CO: $285
    Button: $1794.95
    Hero: $645
    BB: $714

    Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is SB with 8 A
    UTG calls, 3 folds, Hero raises to $24, BB folds, UTG calls.

    Flop: 8 Q Q ($54, 2 players)
    Hero bets $36, UTG calls.

    Turn: A ($126, 2 players)
    Hero checks, UTG bets $126, Hero calls.

    River: 2 ($378, 2 players)
    Hero checks, UTG bets $378, Hero calls.

    Results:
    Final pot: $1134
    UTG showed 9c Qc
    Hero mucks 8d Ac

    Blech, might as well light $400 on fire.

    5. This one is interesting I think... villain seems like an ok, tight tagg. We're playing on two tables together and haven't really gotten into it.

    Full Tilt Poker - No Limit Holdem Ring game - Blinds: $2/$4 - 3 players - Converter

    Stack sizes:
    Button: $146
    SB: $419.20
    Hero: $548.10

    Pre-flop: (3 players) Hero is BB with 9 9
    Button folds, SB raises to $12, Hero raises to $36, SB calls.

    Flop: 4 J 6 ($72, 2 players)
    SB checks, Hero bets $40, SB raises to $94, Hero raises to $456
  13. #13
    Hope you have fun on your long vacation man!

    r.e. the hands from your last post

    1). when your opp opens for 4BB pre do you make a 3bet to $70ish instead?

    i like how the hand is played

    2). I don't know enough about HU for my opinion to be meaningful, but i think unless you are going to follow up with a bet on the turn i think folding is better. Versus a station i think folding the flop is the best play.

    3). he probably doesn't have 8-x/9-x often after he calls the turn bet. I like a smaller river bet ($115 or so) because i think his range is pretty polarized.

    4). i've lit (tens of?) thousands of dollars on fire...

    5). the flop seems like a good place to check versus someone who likes to check/raise his draws. I like this line with Q-J but with worse made hands i think checking behind is better versus typical non passives.
    Quote Originally Posted by Carroters
    Ambition is fucking great, but you're trying to dig up gold with a rocket launcher and are going to blow the whole lot to shit unless you refine your tools
  14. #14
    Quote Originally Posted by Vi-Zer0Skill
    Hope you have fun on your long vacation man!
    Thanks Vi! It's been nice so far

    Quote Originally Posted by Vi-Zer0Skill
    1). when your opp opens for 4BB pre do you make a 3bet to $70ish instead?
    4bb openers are pretty rare at 2/4, 3.5bb is most common. If he raises to 3.5bb ($14) my standard 3bet is to $48. Villain folded river.

    Quote Originally Posted by Vi-Zer0Skill
    2). I don't know enough about HU for my opinion to be meaningful, but i think unless you are going to follow up with a bet on the turn i think folding is better. Versus a station i think folding the flop is the best play.
    I agree.

    Quote Originally Posted by Vi-Zer0Skill
    5). the flop seems like a good place to check versus someone who likes to check/raise his draws. I like this line with Q-J but with worse made hands i think checking behind is better versus typical non passives.
    Interesting. I think we have the best hand a fair amount and don't want to give a free card to missed overs/flush draws or let villain push us off the best hand. I pushed over his small c/r because I thought he might be bluffing and could fold AJ/QJ/JT, but he timed down and called with AJ.
  15. #15
    I took my first day off yesterday since I started this op because I have a nasty cold. Feeling slightly better today, so I'll try to put some hands in. I did play on Saturday though... was down almost $5k pretty quickly, lost two stacks on flips at 2/4 and one at 5/10. Got sucked out on once for a stack at 5/10 and played one hand badly for another (posted below). Pretty boring session really, just didn't catch any breaks. I saw a fish from my buddy list on a 10/20 table and continued my domination of those stakes



    Just going to post one bad hand here as punishment, but I'll also post a couple in the HSNL forum if you want to check those out.

    1. SB is a 46/6/1.5/30% bad loose/passive on my buddylist. BB is a 2p2'er, tagg regular, who I know has a wide squeezing range in this situation. Pre-flop is meh, I thought about 4-betting because I take it down a lot and am not a favorite even over BB's wide squeezing range. But I decided to call b/c I was 90% sure SB would come along with a wide range. Folding is also a good option of course. Flop I think I have to bet to protect? When SB calls I guess I should put him on JJ+, but he's bad so there's a slight chance he'd do this with 99 or AK? Probably not though. So of course I turned my hand into a bluff and omgpotishugeihaveapairpushed. Thoughts?

    Full Tilt Poker - No Limit Holdem Ring game - Blinds: $5/$10 - 6 players - Converter

    Stack sizes:
    UTG: $428.75
    UTG+1: $1040.25
    CO: $2446.50
    Hero: $1000
    SB: $1371.25
    BB: $1037

    Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is Button with T 9
    3 folds, Hero raises to $35, SB calls, BB raises to $165, Hero calls, SB calls.

    Flop: 8 T 8 ($495, 3 players)
    SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets $250, SB calls, BB folds.

    Turn: Q ($995, 2 players)
    SB checks, Hero is all-in $585
  16. #16
    Not a good day yesterday. Lost a couple flips, got coolered a couple of times then started spewing. I am not playing well the last few days. Back to ~even for the month, sigh.



    Don't feel like posting any hands, the big pots were mostly spew. Hopefully I can find some of the regs who saw me spew yesterday and take advantage of my image today.
  17. #17
    I think I played some of my best poker in weeks today. Much more disciplined. Still managed to get killed though. Couldn't win a flip (or a 60/40 or 80/20 for that matter).



    I've been running hot for the last few months and had almost forgotten how soul-crushing downswings can be. Yay poker.

    Only one hand to post because the rest are coolers and bad beats.

    1. UTG+1 is a solid tagg, 19/17 or so, Button is a lag, 33/22/3.5, frequent 3-bettor. What do you put Button on pre-flop? Do you c-bet? What do you put him on after he pushes? Do you call, getting 2.7:1 odds?

    Full Tilt Poker - No Limit Holdem Ring game - Blinds: $5/$10 - 6 players - Converter

    Stack sizes:
    UTG: $1566
    UTG+1: $2661.25
    CO: $300
    Button: $1340
    Hero: $1035
    BB: $349

    Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is SB with J A
    UTG folds, UTG+1 raises to $45, CO folds, Button calls, Hero raises to $200, 2 folds, Button calls.

    Flop: K 6 8 ($455, 2 players)
    Hero bets $260, Button raises all-in $1140
  18. #18
    It always amazes me how quick you can forget downswings when you are on a heater. But everytime I have a downswing they get shorter as I see the warning signs now quicker then before.

    Anyway, I find preflop marginal especially with the buttons description. I rather squeeze with SC's and 1-gappers here. I would c/bet the flop a lot but a thinking player could often raise me out of the pot. Here I put him on a narrow range with the upper end being 8s9s, 66, 88. I couldn't see myself calling here. You are repping at worst AK and he is not afraid of getting his money in here so I would fold.
  19. #19
    hard to put the button on a hand since this is the perfect flop for you to c bet

    btw I put him on AA or KK
    when the vpip's are high and the value bets are like razors, who can be safe?
  20. #20
    The problem with spots like that AJ suited hand is that button puts YOU on squeezing. So that means his calling range can be soooo wide in this spot if thats what he thinks of you. So 66/88 can be in his range (esp given his call of the original raise) as well as suited cards tryin to take you off the hand in position.

    I'd say a set and flush draw are definitely in his range, moreso than a strong K or strong overpair.

    If you have squeezed his call before, then I'd say his range could be weighted towards stronger hands, if he expected the squeeze.
  21. #21
    I don't remember squeezing this guy's call before, although I've definitely 3-bet him. Here were my thoughts as I let the 40 second time bank tick down... I think he's good enough not to call with a pocket pair for set value BUT he could put me on broadways pre, call with a pp and plan on pushing almost any flop, so JJ-22 are in his range pre (genitruc, I don't think I've played with this guy enough for him to get tricky with KK+). Still, any pp besides 66 and 88 have to be scared of the K and might not push. He is very loose pre-flop so he might have made a bad call with a suited ace or connector and if they're spades, he's always pushing. So I basically decided that if draws were in his range along with 66 and 88, and if even a few pp's other than 66 and 88 were in there too, I couldn't be a 3:1 dog so I called. Maybe I was being optimistic?


    Board: Ks 6s 8c
    Dead:

    equity win tie pots won pots tied
    Hand 0: 71.614% 71.19% 00.42% 28191 168.00 { JJ-66, AsTs, As9s, As8s, As7s, As5s, As4s, As3s, As2s, QsJs, Ts9s, 9s8s, 8s7s, 5s4s }
    Hand 1: 28.386% 27.96% 00.42% 11073 168.00 { AcJc }

    Now for the best part, I was ahead when I called
  22. #22
    sick

    the thought process above seems pretty stellar. nh.
    when the vpip's are high and the value bets are like razors, who can be safe?
  23. #23
    Didn't play today because I was out enjoying 10 inches of new powder. It was epic and my body is wrecked.

    I played a ton yesterday and guess what? I lost some more! This op thread has been the fucking death of me. I honestly think I played really well again yesterday. I spewed in a few small pots, but only got stacked twice, once when I lost a flip AI on the flop and once when someone flopped a set of 4's vs. my AA in a 3bet pot. The story of this month is that AA is my biggest loser



    I'm going to do some serious pokertracker analysis and probably start playing a little less 5/10. But I honestly feel like I'm playing as well as I ever have. No time to post hands right now, but maybe tomorrow...
  24. #24
    Hey man,

    Whatdid he end up having that AJ hand? Flush draw?

    I think the call is marginal either way. Your stove is probably optimistic, since you didn't include some likely hands that he could have that were actually ahead of you (ie: AA,AK,AsQs,KQ) I think are all possible.

    If you include those hands your equity droops to about 21%. But nice call anyhow

    I hope your month picks up though. I feel your pain, my AA were down all month until yesterday.. boo
  25. #25
    Quote Originally Posted by griffey24
    Whatdid he end up having that AJ hand? Flush draw?
    As2s I think this guy 3bets the hands you mentioned 90%+ of the time, and pushes over the top of my squeeze with them sometimes too, but I guess everyone's capable of getting tricky once in awhile.

    Glad you got AA out of the red yesterday griffey!
  26. #26
    Oh and I was also going to say, bet stronger as your continuatoin bet on the K high board. At least that way you know you're priced in, and you'll get played back at less I'd imagine.

    Though I guess if you WANT to get played back at, and make crazy reads/calls with A-high.. then your bet is gooood =)
  27. #27
    damn i've got a lot less to complain about, you've made me feel a little better


    don't forget you're a balla and can easily bounce back from a downswing!
    Quote Originally Posted by Carroters
    Ambition is fucking great, but you're trying to dig up gold with a rocket launcher and are going to blow the whole lot to shit unless you refine your tools
  28. #28
    Quote Originally Posted by Vi-Zer0Skill
    don't forget you're a balla and can easily bounce back from a downswing!
    thx Vi.

    I didn't play Friday or Saturday, I took some needed days off and partied instead. Came back today and am actually in the positive over 1k hands! I might play a little more later, so I'll wait to post stats and hands.

    I leave tomorrow for a week in Mexico, woo-hoo!
  29. #29
    Well, I was up today, but I had to play 500 more hands and fuck it up. Dropping $2.5k in my last session was a fitting way to end my worst month of the year though.



    I definitely need a vacation from poker. Hope I come back ready to grind this bonus in January.

    Enjoy the holidays everyone.
  30. #30
    Have a good vacation, and happy holidays!

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