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OESFD, butchered? ($27)

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  1. #1

    Default OESFD, butchered? ($27)

    Opp's stats were something like 47/11/4.5 over 20 hands. How is this line with my OESFD? Should I lead the flop or C-R? As played, should I C-R AI on the turn? Ugh this felt so weak.

    PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t50 (8 handed) Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

    BB (t2120)
    UTG (t1445)
    UTG+1 (t1750)
    MP1 (t1415)
    MP2 (t1520)
    CO (t3250)
    Button (t635)
    Hero (t1365)

    Preflop: Hero is SB with Q, J.
    6 folds, Hero raises to t150, BB calls t100.

    Flop: (t300) 6, K, T (2 players)
    Hero bets t200, BB calls t200.

    Turn: (t700) 3 (2 players)
    Hero checks, BB bets t250, Hero calls t250.

    River: (t1200) T (2 players)
    Hero checks, BB bets t300, Hero folds.
  2. #2
    Tough spot.
    I mix it up with betting out and going for the c/rai. I'm more inclined to go for the c/rai in a multiway pot when it's either limped or im not the preflop agressor. I would probabally lead out here though since im the pfr , unless the 4.5 = high post flop agression factor (only stat im not sure what means). I tend to shove over turn since vs his range we still have a lot of equity in the pot (maybe something like 33%+) , and he may fold some hands that were behind.
  3. #3
    FlyingSaucy's Avatar
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    The only thing I'm curious about is the turn - that 250 bet is looking pretty weak. You are getting great odds to call, but I would really like a check raise here once he bets weak here. My line is to check and see if you can get a free card, but if not and he bets weak, check raise for the fold equity plus outs-if-called combo. If he is really as loose as that small sample says, then you are probably even money with him on the turn even if he does have a K or T given your monster outs. A lot depends on whether you think he is capable of laying down TPNK or even middle pair because the size of your fold equity is what makes a push potentially worth it.
  4. #4
    bet PS on flop shove turn

    as played CR turn AI seems best.

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